Google 47%
Anthropic 34%
xAI 10%
OpenAI 5%
$33,577 Vol.
$33,577 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026

47%

Anthropic
34%

xAI
10%

OpenAI
5%

DeepSeek
4%

Mistral
2%

Alibaba
1%

Moonshot
1%

Z.ai
1%

Meituan
<1%
Google 47%
Anthropic 34%
xAI 10%
OpenAI 5%
$33,577 Vol.
$33,577 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026

$7,748 Vol.
47%

Anthropic
$3,278 Vol.
34%

xAI
$3,189 Vol.
10%

OpenAI
$4,041 Vol.
5%

DeepSeek
$2,566 Vol.
4%

Mistral
$1,934 Vol.
2%

Alibaba
$5,206 Vol.
1%

Moonshot
$1,910 Vol.
1%

Z.ai
$1,845 Vol.
1%

Meituan
$1,859 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$33,577End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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