US diplomatic normalization with Venezuela's interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez has advanced rapidly, with the Trump administration lifting sanctions on her April 2 and reopening the US embassy March 30—three months after the January 3 military operation that captured former President Nicolás Maduro via airstrikes and a precision raid on Caracas. Officials have repeatedly assured no US troops remain on Venezuelan soil, denying plans for ground deployments amid Senate debates on war powers. Direct military oversight by Secretary of War Pete Hegseth coordinates with Venezuelan authorities to stabilize the transition, prioritizing political reforms and oil access over escalation. No fresh military or escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, though Maduro's ongoing US trial and interim government cohesion could influence future dynamics before June 30 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$1,257,479 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
March 31
1%
June 30
13%
$1,257,479 Vol.
March 31
$3,486 Vol.
1%
June 30
$173,904 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic normalization with Venezuela's interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez has advanced rapidly, with the Trump administration lifting sanctions on her April 2 and reopening the US embassy March 30—three months after the January 3 military operation that captured former President Nicolás Maduro via airstrikes and a precision raid on Caracas. Officials have repeatedly assured no US troops remain on Venezuelan soil, denying plans for ground deployments amid Senate debates on war powers. Direct military oversight by Secretary of War Pete Hegseth coordinates with Venezuelan authorities to stabilize the transition, prioritizing political reforms and oil access over escalation. No fresh military or escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, though Maduro's ongoing US trial and interim government cohesion could influence future dynamics before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ET
Volume
$1,257,479End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic normalization with Venezuela's interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez has advanced rapidly, with the Trump administration lifting sanctions on her April 2 and reopening the US embassy March 30—three months after the January 3 military operation that captured former President Nicolás Maduro via airstrikes and a precision raid on Caracas. Officials have repeatedly assured no US troops remain on Venezuelan soil, denying plans for ground deployments amid Senate debates on war powers. Direct military oversight by Secretary of War Pete Hegseth coordinates with Venezuelan authorities to stabilize the transition, prioritizing political reforms and oil access over escalation. No fresh military or escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, though Maduro's ongoing US trial and interim government cohesion could influence future dynamics before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,257,479End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
US diplomatic normalization with Venezuela's interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez has advanced rapidly, with the Trump administration lifting sanctions on her April 2 and reopening the US embassy March 30—three months after the January 3 military operation that captured former President Nicolás Maduro via airstrikes and a precision raid on Caracas. Officials have repeatedly assured no US troops remain on Venezuelan soil, denying plans for ground deployments amid Senate debates on war powers. Direct military oversight by Secretary of War Pete Hegseth coordinates with Venezuelan authorities to stabilize the transition, prioritizing political reforms and oil access over escalation. No fresh military or escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, though Maduro's ongoing US trial and interim government cohesion could influence future dynamics before June 30 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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