Trader consensus slightly favors President Trump's approval rating declining this week at 54%, driven by recent Reuters/Ipsos and Strength In Numbers polls showing a drop to 36-37% approve amid surging fuel prices tied to the ongoing Iran conflict and broader economic discontent. Disapproval has climbed to 55-60% across trackers like Silver Bulletin and Economist/YouGov, marking second-term lows, as voters cite underwater ratings on prices, foreign policy, and handling of inflation. The narrow margin reflects approval's stability in the low 40s earlier, volatility from daily polling fluctuations, and potential upside from de-escalation signals or positive jobs data before week's end polls resolve the market via standard aggregators like RealClearPolitics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUp
NEW
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Apr 4, 2026
Up
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Apr 4, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on March 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus slightly favors President Trump's approval rating declining this week at 54%, driven by recent Reuters/Ipsos and Strength In Numbers polls showing a drop to 36-37% approve amid surging fuel prices tied to the ongoing Iran conflict and broader economic discontent. Disapproval has climbed to 55-60% across trackers like Silver Bulletin and Economist/YouGov, marking second-term lows, as voters cite underwater ratings on prices, foreign policy, and handling of inflation. The narrow margin reflects approval's stability in the low 40s earlier, volatility from daily polling fluctuations, and potential upside from de-escalation signals or positive jobs data before week's end polls resolve the market via standard aggregators like RealClearPolitics.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on March 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Volume
$1,577End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 11:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on March 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus slightly favors President Trump's approval rating declining this week at 54%, driven by recent Reuters/Ipsos and Strength In Numbers polls showing a drop to 36-37% approve amid surging fuel prices tied to the ongoing Iran conflict and broader economic discontent. Disapproval has climbed to 55-60% across trackers like Silver Bulletin and Economist/YouGov, marking second-term lows, as voters cite underwater ratings on prices, foreign policy, and handling of inflation. The narrow margin reflects approval's stability in the low 40s earlier, volatility from daily polling fluctuations, and potential upside from de-escalation signals or positive jobs data before week's end polls resolve the market via standard aggregators like RealClearPolitics.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on March 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 27, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$1,577End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 11:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus slightly favors President Trump's approval rating declining this week at 54%, driven by recent Reuters/Ipsos and Strength In Numbers polls showing a drop to 36-37% approve amid surging fuel prices tied to the ongoing Iran conflict and broader economic discontent. Disapproval has climbed to 55-60% across trackers like Silver Bulletin and Economist/YouGov, marking second-term lows, as voters cite underwater ratings on prices, foreign policy, and handling of inflation. The narrow margin reflects approval's stability in the low 40s earlier, volatility from daily polling fluctuations, and potential upside from de-escalation signals or positive jobs data before week's end polls resolve the market via standard aggregators like RealClearPolitics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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