Official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration confirm Taipei's highest temperature on March 28 reached 21°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Cloudy skies, northeasterly winds, and elevated humidity suppressed daytime heating, aligning precisely with ensemble forecast models that projected peaks of 21-22°C amid a low-pressure trough. This fits March climatology, where average highs near 22°C often yield to transient cool air masses, as seen in recent days. Realistic challenges include rare CWA data revisions from secondary stations or recalibrations, but preliminary records from key sites like Taipei Songshan are authoritative and stable, with resolution imminent via official bulletin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
21°C 99.9%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$125,468 Vol.
$125,468 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.9%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$125,468 Vol.
$125,468 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
21°C
$47,543 Vol.
100%
22°C
$18,625 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,795 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,029 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,895 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$7,406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration confirm Taipei's highest temperature on March 28 reached 21°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Cloudy skies, northeasterly winds, and elevated humidity suppressed daytime heating, aligning precisely with ensemble forecast models that projected peaks of 21-22°C amid a low-pressure trough. This fits March climatology, where average highs near 22°C often yield to transient cool air masses, as seen in recent days. Realistic challenges include rare CWA data revisions from secondary stations or recalibrations, but preliminary records from key sites like Taipei Songshan are authoritative and stable, with resolution imminent via official bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$125,468End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Final dispute
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration confirm Taipei's highest temperature on March 28 reached 21°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Cloudy skies, northeasterly winds, and elevated humidity suppressed daytime heating, aligning precisely with ensemble forecast models that projected peaks of 21-22°C amid a low-pressure trough. This fits March climatology, where average highs near 22°C often yield to transient cool air masses, as seen in recent days. Realistic challenges include rare CWA data revisions from secondary stations or recalibrations, but preliminary records from key sites like Taipei Songshan are authoritative and stable, with resolution imminent via official bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$125,468End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Final dispute
Final
Official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration confirm Taipei's highest temperature on March 28 reached 21°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Cloudy skies, northeasterly winds, and elevated humidity suppressed daytime heating, aligning precisely with ensemble forecast models that projected peaks of 21-22°C amid a low-pressure trough. This fits March climatology, where average highs near 22°C often yield to transient cool air masses, as seen in recent days. Realistic challenges include rare CWA data revisions from secondary stations or recalibrations, but preliminary records from key sites like Taipei Songshan are authoritative and stable, with resolution imminent via official bulletin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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