Trader sentiment on Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26 clusters tightly around 35°C (37.5%) and 36°C (31%), reflecting consensus from India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs in the mid-30s amid persistent clear skies and low humidity typical for late March pre-monsoon conditions. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted solar insolation and light northerly winds—favoring a 36°C peak if unobstructed—versus potential afternoon haze or urban heat island moderation capping at 35°C, with historical March averages (~34.5°C) and below-34°C odds (22.5%) buoyed by lingering winter soil moisture. Key upcoming IMD bulletin could shift odds as diurnal ranges narrow under high-pressure dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 38%
36°C 31%
34°C or below 24%
37°C 4.5%
$62,925 Vol.
$62,925 Vol.
34°C or below
24%
35°C
38%
36°C
31%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
36°C 31%
34°C or below 24%
37°C 4.5%
$62,925 Vol.
$62,925 Vol.
34°C or below
24%
35°C
38%
36°C
31%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26 clusters tightly around 35°C (37.5%) and 36°C (31%), reflecting consensus from India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs in the mid-30s amid persistent clear skies and low humidity typical for late March pre-monsoon conditions. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted solar insolation and light northerly winds—favoring a 36°C peak if unobstructed—versus potential afternoon haze or urban heat island moderation capping at 35°C, with historical March averages (~34.5°C) and below-34°C odds (22.5%) buoyed by lingering winter soil moisture. Key upcoming IMD bulletin could shift odds as diurnal ranges narrow under high-pressure dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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