Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 35°C (39.5%) or 36°C (27.5%) in Lucknow on March 26, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting a maximum around 35°C under persistent clear skies and dry northwesterly winds fueling diurnal heating. Recent observations from Lucknow's Amausi station confirm rising temperatures—peaking at 34.2°C on March 25—consistent with seasonal norms for late March, when average highs hover near 33°C but early summer warming often pushes outliers to 36°C. Minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk (under 5%) from ECMWF and GFS models bolster these odds, while a 24% chance for 34°C or below reflects potential overnight cooling variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 39%
36°C 28%
34°C or below 24%
37°C 3.6%
$60,425 Vol.
$60,425 Vol.
34°C or below
24%
35°C
39%
36°C
28%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
36°C 28%
34°C or below 24%
37°C 3.6%
$60,425 Vol.
$60,425 Vol.
34°C or below
24%
35°C
39%
36°C
28%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 35°C (39.5%) or 36°C (27.5%) in Lucknow on March 26, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting a maximum around 35°C under persistent clear skies and dry northwesterly winds fueling diurnal heating. Recent observations from Lucknow's Amausi station confirm rising temperatures—peaking at 34.2°C on March 25—consistent with seasonal norms for late March, when average highs hover near 33°C but early summer warming often pushes outliers to 36°C. Minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk (under 5%) from ECMWF and GFS models bolster these odds, while a 24% chance for 34°C or below reflects potential overnight cooling variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions