The Illinois 14th congressional district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 House election. Incumbent Lauren Underwood secured an uncontested Democratic primary in March, reinforcing the seat’s established positioning in the western Chicago suburbs. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican organization and fundraising further support current market pricing. A shift in national political conditions or unusually high turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors make a Republican victory unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,934 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$6,250 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 14th congressional district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 House election. Incumbent Lauren Underwood secured an uncontested Democratic primary in March, reinforcing the seat’s established positioning in the western Chicago suburbs. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican organization and fundraising further support current market pricing. A shift in national political conditions or unusually high turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors make a Republican victory unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$9,185종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 14th congressional district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 House election. Incumbent Lauren Underwood secured an uncontested Democratic primary in March, reinforcing the seat’s established positioning in the western Chicago suburbs. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican organization and fundraising further support current market pricing. A shift in national political conditions or unusually high turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors make a Republican victory unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,185종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 14th congressional district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 House election. Incumbent Lauren Underwood secured an uncontested Democratic primary in March, reinforcing the seat’s established positioning in the western Chicago suburbs. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican organization and fundraising further support current market pricing. A shift in national political conditions or unusually high turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors make a Republican victory unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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