Lauren Underwood's reelection bid anchors trader expectations in Illinois's 14th congressional district, a western Chicago exurb area with consistent Democratic support. The incumbent Democrat advanced unopposed through her March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee James Marter secured his party's nod in late April amid limited opposition. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have classified the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting Underwood's prior victories including a 55 percent margin in 2024 and the district's underlying partisan composition. Limited fundraising disparities and absence of major scandals or national headwinds have sustained this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a health event, major policy reversal, or broader electoral wave could still shift outcomes in a low-probability scenario.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
<1%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,934 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$6,255 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lauren Underwood's reelection bid anchors trader expectations in Illinois's 14th congressional district, a western Chicago exurb area with consistent Democratic support. The incumbent Democrat advanced unopposed through her March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee James Marter secured his party's nod in late April amid limited opposition. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have classified the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting Underwood's prior victories including a 55 percent margin in 2024 and the district's underlying partisan composition. Limited fundraising disparities and absence of major scandals or national headwinds have sustained this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a health event, major policy reversal, or broader electoral wave could still shift outcomes in a low-probability scenario.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$9,190종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lauren Underwood's reelection bid anchors trader expectations in Illinois's 14th congressional district, a western Chicago exurb area with consistent Democratic support. The incumbent Democrat advanced unopposed through her March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee James Marter secured his party's nod in late April amid limited opposition. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have classified the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting Underwood's prior victories including a 55 percent margin in 2024 and the district's underlying partisan composition. Limited fundraising disparities and absence of major scandals or national headwinds have sustained this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a health event, major policy reversal, or broader electoral wave could still shift outcomes in a low-probability scenario.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,190종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lauren Underwood's reelection bid anchors trader expectations in Illinois's 14th congressional district, a western Chicago exurb area with consistent Democratic support. The incumbent Democrat advanced unopposed through her March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee James Marter secured his party's nod in late April amid limited opposition. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have classified the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting Underwood's prior victories including a 55 percent margin in 2024 and the district's underlying partisan composition. Limited fundraising disparities and absence of major scandals or national headwinds have sustained this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a health event, major policy reversal, or broader electoral wave could still shift outcomes in a low-probability scenario.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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