Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 92.5¢ in the TX-01 House race, reflecting the district's R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index—one of the strongest Republican leans nationally—and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 80,000 votes, dwarfing Democrats' 35,000-vote primary turnout, while holding a dominant fundraising edge ($634,000 cash-on-hand as of late March versus under $2,000 for top Democrats). The Democratic runoff on May 26 between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander will set their nominee, alongside independent Sonia Canchola. Upsets remain possible via a national Democratic midterm wave, Moran scandal, legal issues, or health events, but historical dominance—including Moran's 2024 unopposed win—bolsters the commanding position.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$1,503 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$1,353 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 92.5¢ in the TX-01 House race, reflecting the district's R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index—one of the strongest Republican leans nationally—and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 80,000 votes, dwarfing Democrats' 35,000-vote primary turnout, while holding a dominant fundraising edge ($634,000 cash-on-hand as of late March versus under $2,000 for top Democrats). The Democratic runoff on May 26 between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander will set their nominee, alongside independent Sonia Canchola. Upsets remain possible via a national Democratic midterm wave, Moran scandal, legal issues, or health events, but historical dominance—including Moran's 2024 unopposed win—bolsters the commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$2,857종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 92.5¢ in the TX-01 House race, reflecting the district's R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index—one of the strongest Republican leans nationally—and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 80,000 votes, dwarfing Democrats' 35,000-vote primary turnout, while holding a dominant fundraising edge ($634,000 cash-on-hand as of late March versus under $2,000 for top Democrats). The Democratic runoff on May 26 between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander will set their nominee, alongside independent Sonia Canchola. Upsets remain possible via a national Democratic midterm wave, Moran scandal, legal issues, or health events, but historical dominance—including Moran's 2024 unopposed win—bolsters the commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,857종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 92.5¢ in the TX-01 House race, reflecting the district's R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index—one of the strongest Republican leans nationally—and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 80,000 votes, dwarfing Democrats' 35,000-vote primary turnout, while holding a dominant fundraising edge ($634,000 cash-on-hand as of late March versus under $2,000 for top Democrats). The Democratic runoff on May 26 between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander will set their nominee, alongside independent Sonia Canchola. Upsets remain possible via a national Democratic midterm wave, Moran scandal, legal issues, or health events, but historical dominance—including Moran's 2024 unopposed win—bolsters the commanding position.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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