Trader consensus assigns an 82.5% implied probability to the Republican Party winning Florida's 18th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's strong reelection position. Franklin, who captured 65% in 2024 and 75% in 2022, faces no Republican primary opponent and holds $819,000 in cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, plus no-party-affiliation candidate Deva Simmons. All forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent polling or developments altering this dynamic ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Shifts would require unforeseen scandals or national wave effects.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,646 거래량
$13,646 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
14%
$13,646 거래량
$13,646 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$7,382 거래량
83%
Democratic Party
$6,264 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns an 82.5% implied probability to the Republican Party winning Florida's 18th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's strong reelection position. Franklin, who captured 65% in 2024 and 75% in 2022, faces no Republican primary opponent and holds $819,000 in cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, plus no-party-affiliation candidate Deva Simmons. All forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent polling or developments altering this dynamic ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Shifts would require unforeseen scandals or national wave effects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
거래량
$13,646종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns an 82.5% implied probability to the Republican Party winning Florida's 18th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's strong reelection position. Franklin, who captured 65% in 2024 and 75% in 2022, faces no Republican primary opponent and holds $819,000 in cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, plus no-party-affiliation candidate Deva Simmons. All forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent polling or developments altering this dynamic ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Shifts would require unforeseen scandals or national wave effects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,646종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns an 82.5% implied probability to the Republican Party winning Florida's 18th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's strong reelection position. Franklin, who captured 65% in 2024 and 75% in 2022, faces no Republican primary opponent and holds $819,000 in cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, plus no-party-affiliation candidate Deva Simmons. All forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent polling or developments altering this dynamic ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Shifts would require unforeseen scandals or national wave effects.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문