Incumbent Rep. Mark DeSaulnier's strong reelection bid in California's deep-blue 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward Democrats at over 90%, reflecting the D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, 2024 presidential margins favoring Kamala Harris by 34 points, and solid Democratic race ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, DeSaulnier leads Democratic rivals in fundraising with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late March, while Republican challengers hold minimal resources. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset advancing a strong GOP contender, DeSaulnier scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$5,494 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$3,313 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mark DeSaulnier's strong reelection bid in California's deep-blue 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward Democrats at over 90%, reflecting the D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, 2024 presidential margins favoring Kamala Harris by 34 points, and solid Democratic race ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, DeSaulnier leads Democratic rivals in fundraising with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late March, while Republican challengers hold minimal resources. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset advancing a strong GOP contender, DeSaulnier scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
거래량
$8,807종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mark DeSaulnier's strong reelection bid in California's deep-blue 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward Democrats at over 90%, reflecting the D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, 2024 presidential margins favoring Kamala Harris by 34 points, and solid Democratic race ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, DeSaulnier leads Democratic rivals in fundraising with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late March, while Republican challengers hold minimal resources. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset advancing a strong GOP contender, DeSaulnier scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,807종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mark DeSaulnier's strong reelection bid in California's deep-blue 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward Democrats at over 90%, reflecting the D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, 2024 presidential margins favoring Kamala Harris by 34 points, and solid Democratic race ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, DeSaulnier leads Democratic rivals in fundraising with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late March, while Republican challengers hold minimal resources. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset advancing a strong GOP contender, DeSaulnier scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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