South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Joe Wilson seeking another term amid a competitive GOP primary that includes challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons. Multiple Democratic candidates are contesting their June 9 primary, yet the district's central South Carolina voter base and recent election margins continue to anchor trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Ongoing legislative discussions over mid-decade redistricting have introduced some uncertainty about final boundaries, though no changes have been enacted that would alter the seat's partisan composition before the filing deadline. Primary outcomes and any late shifts in candidate fundraising will shape the general-election matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,184 거래량
$30,184 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
80%
민주당
21%
$30,184 거래량
$30,184 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$10,400 거래량
80%
민주당
$19,784 거래량
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Joe Wilson seeking another term amid a competitive GOP primary that includes challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons. Multiple Democratic candidates are contesting their June 9 primary, yet the district's central South Carolina voter base and recent election margins continue to anchor trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Ongoing legislative discussions over mid-decade redistricting have introduced some uncertainty about final boundaries, though no changes have been enacted that would alter the seat's partisan composition before the filing deadline. Primary outcomes and any late shifts in candidate fundraising will shape the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$30,184종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Joe Wilson seeking another term amid a competitive GOP primary that includes challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons. Multiple Democratic candidates are contesting their June 9 primary, yet the district's central South Carolina voter base and recent election margins continue to anchor trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Ongoing legislative discussions over mid-decade redistricting have introduced some uncertainty about final boundaries, though no changes have been enacted that would alter the seat's partisan composition before the filing deadline. Primary outcomes and any late shifts in candidate fundraising will shape the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$30,184종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Joe Wilson seeking another term amid a competitive GOP primary that includes challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons. Multiple Democratic candidates are contesting their June 9 primary, yet the district's central South Carolina voter base and recent election margins continue to anchor trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Ongoing legislative discussions over mid-decade redistricting have introduced some uncertainty about final boundaries, though no changes have been enacted that would alter the seat's partisan composition before the filing deadline. Primary outcomes and any late shifts in candidate fundraising will shape the general-election matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문