South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a 14-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Representative Joe Wilson is seeking another term in the June 9 Republican primary alongside challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, while four Democratic candidates vie for their party’s nomination on the same date. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 80 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and limited competitive pressure. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,184 거래량
$30,184 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
80%
민주당
21%
$30,184 거래량
$30,184 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$10,400 거래량
80%
민주당
$19,784 거래량
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a 14-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Representative Joe Wilson is seeking another term in the June 9 Republican primary alongside challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, while four Democratic candidates vie for their party’s nomination on the same date. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 80 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and limited competitive pressure. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$30,184종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a 14-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Representative Joe Wilson is seeking another term in the June 9 Republican primary alongside challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, while four Democratic candidates vie for their party’s nomination on the same date. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 80 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and limited competitive pressure. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$30,184종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a 14-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Representative Joe Wilson is seeking another term in the June 9 Republican primary alongside challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, while four Democratic candidates vie for their party’s nomination on the same date. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 80 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and limited competitive pressure. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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