The South Carolina 2nd congressional district's R+7 partisan voter index and 14-point Trump margin in 2024 underpin the Republican Party's strong 80% consensus in this House race. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 9 contest, while the Democratic primary field of four candidates remains fragmented with no standout frontrunner. Traders view these structural factors as sustaining the party's lead through the general election on November 3, though the race's modest Republican tilt leaves room for shifts if Democratic turnout rises sharply or primary results produce an unexpected general-election matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,184 거래량
$30,184 거래량
공화당
80%
민주당
21%
$30,184 거래량
$30,184 거래량
공화당
80%
민주당
21%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The South Carolina 2nd congressional district's R+7 partisan voter index and 14-point Trump margin in 2024 underpin the Republican Party's strong 80% consensus in this House race. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 9 contest, while the Democratic primary field of four candidates remains fragmented with no standout frontrunner. Traders view these structural factors as sustaining the party's lead through the general election on November 3, though the race's modest Republican tilt leaves room for shifts if Democratic turnout rises sharply or primary results produce an unexpected general-election matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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