Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, following May 2026 redistricting that preserved its conservative tilt. The open race, created by incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, features a competitive Republican primary on August 6 among candidates including state Representative Johnny Garrett and former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while the Democratic primary draws a limited field. Analyst ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent performance favoring GOP candidates by wide margins. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican win reflects this structural advantage and historical patterns in similar districts, though an unusually strong Democratic nominee or late-cycle shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin in the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, following May 2026 redistricting that preserved its conservative tilt. The open race, created by incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, features a competitive Republican primary on August 6 among candidates including state Representative Johnny Garrett and former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while the Democratic primary draws a limited field. Analyst ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent performance favoring GOP candidates by wide margins. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican win reflects this structural advantage and historical patterns in similar districts, though an unusually strong Democratic nominee or late-cycle shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin in the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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