Tennessee's 8th congressional district features a pronounced Republican structural advantage rooted in its rural West Tennessee base and eastern Memphis suburbs, where the incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured over 72 percent in the prior cycle. Recent May 2026 redistricting by the GOP-controlled legislature further entrenched this tilt by adjusting boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity on August 6 and the absence of competitive general-election challengers. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these fundamentals, though the outcome remains subject to standard midterm dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or candidate developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,800 거래량
$14,800 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
$14,800 거래량
$14,800 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$9,956 거래량
85%
Democratic Party
$4,844 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district features a pronounced Republican structural advantage rooted in its rural West Tennessee base and eastern Memphis suburbs, where the incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured over 72 percent in the prior cycle. Recent May 2026 redistricting by the GOP-controlled legislature further entrenched this tilt by adjusting boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity on August 6 and the absence of competitive general-election challengers. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these fundamentals, though the outcome remains subject to standard midterm dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or candidate developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$14,800종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district features a pronounced Republican structural advantage rooted in its rural West Tennessee base and eastern Memphis suburbs, where the incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured over 72 percent in the prior cycle. Recent May 2026 redistricting by the GOP-controlled legislature further entrenched this tilt by adjusting boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity on August 6 and the absence of competitive general-election challengers. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these fundamentals, though the outcome remains subject to standard midterm dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or candidate developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,800종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 8th congressional district features a pronounced Republican structural advantage rooted in its rural West Tennessee base and eastern Memphis suburbs, where the incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured over 72 percent in the prior cycle. Recent May 2026 redistricting by the GOP-controlled legislature further entrenched this tilt by adjusting boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity on August 6 and the absence of competitive general-election challengers. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these fundamentals, though the outcome remains subject to standard midterm dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or candidate developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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