The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st congressional district, following Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s decision to run for governor, has shaped trader positioning around the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and historical results continue to favor Republican nominees after the June 9 primaries, supporting the current 69% consensus for a Republican winner. Multiple Republican candidates, including Mark Smith who led a recent GOP forum straw poll, are competing in a primary that typically produces a nominee well positioned for the general. On the Democratic side, a crowded primary field including Francina Dantzler and Mac Deford has not altered the broader structural advantage for Republicans in this coastal district. Upcoming primary outcomes and any further candidate consolidation remain the nearest potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$36,515 거래량
$36,515 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
69%
민주당
32%
$36,515 거래량
$36,515 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$6,605 거래량
69%
민주당
$29,910 거래량
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st congressional district, following Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s decision to run for governor, has shaped trader positioning around the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and historical results continue to favor Republican nominees after the June 9 primaries, supporting the current 69% consensus for a Republican winner. Multiple Republican candidates, including Mark Smith who led a recent GOP forum straw poll, are competing in a primary that typically produces a nominee well positioned for the general. On the Democratic side, a crowded primary field including Francina Dantzler and Mac Deford has not altered the broader structural advantage for Republicans in this coastal district. Upcoming primary outcomes and any further candidate consolidation remain the nearest potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$36,515종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st congressional district, following Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s decision to run for governor, has shaped trader positioning around the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and historical results continue to favor Republican nominees after the June 9 primaries, supporting the current 69% consensus for a Republican winner. Multiple Republican candidates, including Mark Smith who led a recent GOP forum straw poll, are competing in a primary that typically produces a nominee well positioned for the general. On the Democratic side, a crowded primary field including Francina Dantzler and Mac Deford has not altered the broader structural advantage for Republicans in this coastal district. Upcoming primary outcomes and any further candidate consolidation remain the nearest potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$36,515종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st congressional district, following Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s decision to run for governor, has shaped trader positioning around the November 2026 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and historical results continue to favor Republican nominees after the June 9 primaries, supporting the current 69% consensus for a Republican winner. Multiple Republican candidates, including Mark Smith who led a recent GOP forum straw poll, are competing in a primary that typically produces a nominee well positioned for the general. On the Democratic side, a crowded primary field including Francina Dantzler and Mac Deford has not altered the broader structural advantage for Republicans in this coastal district. Upcoming primary outcomes and any further candidate consolidation remain the nearest potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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