The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down a voter-approved redistricting referendum has preserved the current VA-06 map, rated Solid Republican (Cook PVI R+12) and restoring incumbent Ben Cline's strong position as he runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary. This development shifted race ratings to Safe Republican by May 12, boosting trader consensus toward Republicans at 78% implied probability amid Cline's history of double-digit victories (63% in 2024). Democrats face a fragmented primary with Beth Macy leading fundraising, followed by Wendy Gooditis, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray, limiting their path in this battleground-resistant district ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$79,482 거래량
$79,482 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
79%
민주당
15%
$79,482 거래량
$79,482 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$26,169 거래량
79%
민주당
$53,313 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down a voter-approved redistricting referendum has preserved the current VA-06 map, rated Solid Republican (Cook PVI R+12) and restoring incumbent Ben Cline's strong position as he runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary. This development shifted race ratings to Safe Republican by May 12, boosting trader consensus toward Republicans at 78% implied probability amid Cline's history of double-digit victories (63% in 2024). Democrats face a fragmented primary with Beth Macy leading fundraising, followed by Wendy Gooditis, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray, limiting their path in this battleground-resistant district ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$79,482종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down a voter-approved redistricting referendum has preserved the current VA-06 map, rated Solid Republican (Cook PVI R+12) and restoring incumbent Ben Cline's strong position as he runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary. This development shifted race ratings to Safe Republican by May 12, boosting trader consensus toward Republicans at 78% implied probability amid Cline's history of double-digit victories (63% in 2024). Democrats face a fragmented primary with Beth Macy leading fundraising, followed by Wendy Gooditis, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray, limiting their path in this battleground-resistant district ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$79,482종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down a voter-approved redistricting referendum has preserved the current VA-06 map, rated Solid Republican (Cook PVI R+12) and restoring incumbent Ben Cline's strong position as he runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary. This development shifted race ratings to Safe Republican by May 12, boosting trader consensus toward Republicans at 78% implied probability amid Cline's history of double-digit victories (63% in 2024). Democrats face a fragmented primary with Beth Macy leading fundraising, followed by Wendy Gooditis, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray, limiting their path in this battleground-resistant district ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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