The Supreme Court of Virginia's May 8 ruling striking down the redistricting referendum has preserved the existing 2021 district lines for the November 3, 2026, contest, keeping Virginia's 6th a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+12. Incumbent Ben Cline, who won 63 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary field that includes author Beth Macy and others, but no candidate has yet demonstrated the fundraising or name recognition to mount a serious challenge in this western Virginia district anchored by the Shenandoah Valley. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns in similar R+12 seats, where Republican incumbents typically prevail by double-digit margins absent major national shifts or scandals before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$79,568 거래량
$79,568 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
77%
민주당
13%
$79,568 거래량
$79,568 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$26,210 거래량
77%
민주당
$53,357 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Supreme Court of Virginia's May 8 ruling striking down the redistricting referendum has preserved the existing 2021 district lines for the November 3, 2026, contest, keeping Virginia's 6th a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+12. Incumbent Ben Cline, who won 63 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary field that includes author Beth Macy and others, but no candidate has yet demonstrated the fundraising or name recognition to mount a serious challenge in this western Virginia district anchored by the Shenandoah Valley. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns in similar R+12 seats, where Republican incumbents typically prevail by double-digit margins absent major national shifts or scandals before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$79,568종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Supreme Court of Virginia's May 8 ruling striking down the redistricting referendum has preserved the existing 2021 district lines for the November 3, 2026, contest, keeping Virginia's 6th a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+12. Incumbent Ben Cline, who won 63 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary field that includes author Beth Macy and others, but no candidate has yet demonstrated the fundraising or name recognition to mount a serious challenge in this western Virginia district anchored by the Shenandoah Valley. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns in similar R+12 seats, where Republican incumbents typically prevail by double-digit margins absent major national shifts or scandals before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$79,568종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Supreme Court of Virginia's May 8 ruling striking down the redistricting referendum has preserved the existing 2021 district lines for the November 3, 2026, contest, keeping Virginia's 6th a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+12. Incumbent Ben Cline, who won 63 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary field that includes author Beth Macy and others, but no candidate has yet demonstrated the fundraising or name recognition to mount a serious challenge in this western Virginia district anchored by the Shenandoah Valley. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns in similar R+12 seats, where Republican incumbents typically prevail by double-digit margins absent major national shifts or scandals before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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