Longtime Democratic incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman faces multiple intra-party challengers, including Anna Wilding and Chris Ahuja, in California's June 2 top-two primary for the safely Democratic CA-32 seat (Cook Solid D, D+17 partisan voter index). Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 92.5%, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic voter registration edge, Sherman's fundraising dominance, and historical general election margins exceeding 65% even against Republican opposition. Recent media coverage of younger Democratic primary bids (e.g., May reports on newcomer challenges) has not dented the structural advantages. Realistic challenges include a Republican unexpectedly advancing from the primary via Democratic vote split, a leading Democrat scandal, or national midterm Republican wave gains.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,451 거래량
$13,451 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$13,451 거래량
$13,451 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$5,831 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$7,620 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman faces multiple intra-party challengers, including Anna Wilding and Chris Ahuja, in California's June 2 top-two primary for the safely Democratic CA-32 seat (Cook Solid D, D+17 partisan voter index). Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 92.5%, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic voter registration edge, Sherman's fundraising dominance, and historical general election margins exceeding 65% even against Republican opposition. Recent media coverage of younger Democratic primary bids (e.g., May reports on newcomer challenges) has not dented the structural advantages. Realistic challenges include a Republican unexpectedly advancing from the primary via Democratic vote split, a leading Democrat scandal, or national midterm Republican wave gains.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$13,451종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman faces multiple intra-party challengers, including Anna Wilding and Chris Ahuja, in California's June 2 top-two primary for the safely Democratic CA-32 seat (Cook Solid D, D+17 partisan voter index). Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 92.5%, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic voter registration edge, Sherman's fundraising dominance, and historical general election margins exceeding 65% even against Republican opposition. Recent media coverage of younger Democratic primary bids (e.g., May reports on newcomer challenges) has not dented the structural advantages. Realistic challenges include a Republican unexpectedly advancing from the primary via Democratic vote split, a leading Democrat scandal, or national midterm Republican wave gains.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,451종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman faces multiple intra-party challengers, including Anna Wilding and Chris Ahuja, in California's June 2 top-two primary for the safely Democratic CA-32 seat (Cook Solid D, D+17 partisan voter index). Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 92.5%, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic voter registration edge, Sherman's fundraising dominance, and historical general election margins exceeding 65% even against Republican opposition. Recent media coverage of younger Democratic primary bids (e.g., May reports on newcomer challenges) has not dented the structural advantages. Realistic challenges include a Republican unexpectedly advancing from the primary via Democratic vote split, a leading Democrat scandal, or national midterm Republican wave gains.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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