California's 34th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, has consistently delivered Democratic House victories, including incumbent Jimmy Gomez's 55.6% win in the 2024 general election against a fellow Democrat under the top-two primary system. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats reflects the district's deep-blue urban Los Angeles base—where Kamala Harris won 73% in 2024—and a crowded June 2 primary featuring Gomez (strongest fundraising at $828,000 cash on hand) against four other Democrats, one Republican with no reported funds, and one no-party-preference candidate. Absent a GOP primary upset or late scandal, health issue, or legal development derailing the likely Democratic finalists, the general election on November 3 remains a safe hold for the party.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,784 거래량
$21,784 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$21,784 거래량
$21,784 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$6,860 거래량
94%
공화당
$14,925 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, has consistently delivered Democratic House victories, including incumbent Jimmy Gomez's 55.6% win in the 2024 general election against a fellow Democrat under the top-two primary system. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats reflects the district's deep-blue urban Los Angeles base—where Kamala Harris won 73% in 2024—and a crowded June 2 primary featuring Gomez (strongest fundraising at $828,000 cash on hand) against four other Democrats, one Republican with no reported funds, and one no-party-preference candidate. Absent a GOP primary upset or late scandal, health issue, or legal development derailing the likely Democratic finalists, the general election on November 3 remains a safe hold for the party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$21,784종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, has consistently delivered Democratic House victories, including incumbent Jimmy Gomez's 55.6% win in the 2024 general election against a fellow Democrat under the top-two primary system. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats reflects the district's deep-blue urban Los Angeles base—where Kamala Harris won 73% in 2024—and a crowded June 2 primary featuring Gomez (strongest fundraising at $828,000 cash on hand) against four other Democrats, one Republican with no reported funds, and one no-party-preference candidate. Absent a GOP primary upset or late scandal, health issue, or legal development derailing the likely Democratic finalists, the general election on November 3 remains a safe hold for the party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$21,784종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 34th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, has consistently delivered Democratic House victories, including incumbent Jimmy Gomez's 55.6% win in the 2024 general election against a fellow Democrat under the top-two primary system. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats reflects the district's deep-blue urban Los Angeles base—where Kamala Harris won 73% in 2024—and a crowded June 2 primary featuring Gomez (strongest fundraising at $828,000 cash on hand) against four other Democrats, one Republican with no reported funds, and one no-party-preference candidate. Absent a GOP primary upset or late scandal, health issue, or legal development derailing the likely Democratic finalists, the general election on November 3 remains a safe hold for the party.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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