The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28 and consistent general election margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.7%. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez faces several Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, but the single Republican candidate confronts structural barriers in this urban Los Angeles County area with a majority-Hispanic electorate. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic. A national Republican wave, major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though such factors have not altered the district's longstanding partisan profile.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,119 거래량
$24,119 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
3%
$24,119 거래량
$24,119 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$6,996 거래량
94%
공화당
$17,124 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28 and consistent general election margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.7%. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez faces several Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, but the single Republican candidate confronts structural barriers in this urban Los Angeles County area with a majority-Hispanic electorate. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic. A national Republican wave, major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though such factors have not altered the district's longstanding partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$24,119종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28 and consistent general election margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.7%. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez faces several Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, but the single Republican candidate confronts structural barriers in this urban Los Angeles County area with a majority-Hispanic electorate. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic. A national Republican wave, major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though such factors have not altered the district's longstanding partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$24,119종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28 and consistent general election margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.7%. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez faces several Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, but the single Republican candidate confronts structural barriers in this urban Los Angeles County area with a majority-Hispanic electorate. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic. A national Republican wave, major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though such factors have not altered the district's longstanding partisan profile.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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