South Dakota’s at-large House district has delivered consistent Republican majorities for more than three decades, driven by the state’s conservative rural electorate and limited urban population centers that favor GOP candidates in federal contests. Early 2026 cycle positioning shows established Republican contenders securing broad party support while Democratic recruitment and fundraising lag, aligning with the current trader consensus. Historical results in presidential and statewide races provide a reliable base-rate indicator for continued Republican performance. Late developments such as a national economic reversal, major candidate controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Sioux Falls could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability scenarios in a district without recent competitive history.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,931 거래량
$16,931 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$16,931 거래량
$16,931 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$9,474 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$7,457 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large House district has delivered consistent Republican majorities for more than three decades, driven by the state’s conservative rural electorate and limited urban population centers that favor GOP candidates in federal contests. Early 2026 cycle positioning shows established Republican contenders securing broad party support while Democratic recruitment and fundraising lag, aligning with the current trader consensus. Historical results in presidential and statewide races provide a reliable base-rate indicator for continued Republican performance. Late developments such as a national economic reversal, major candidate controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Sioux Falls could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability scenarios in a district without recent competitive history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$16,931종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large House district has delivered consistent Republican majorities for more than three decades, driven by the state’s conservative rural electorate and limited urban population centers that favor GOP candidates in federal contests. Early 2026 cycle positioning shows established Republican contenders securing broad party support while Democratic recruitment and fundraising lag, aligning with the current trader consensus. Historical results in presidential and statewide races provide a reliable base-rate indicator for continued Republican performance. Late developments such as a national economic reversal, major candidate controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Sioux Falls could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability scenarios in a district without recent competitive history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$16,931종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large House district has delivered consistent Republican majorities for more than three decades, driven by the state’s conservative rural electorate and limited urban population centers that favor GOP candidates in federal contests. Early 2026 cycle positioning shows established Republican contenders securing broad party support while Democratic recruitment and fundraising lag, aligning with the current trader consensus. Historical results in presidential and statewide races provide a reliable base-rate indicator for continued Republican performance. Late developments such as a national economic reversal, major candidate controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Sioux Falls could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability scenarios in a district without recent competitive history.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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