Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of Mexico’s 2027 legislative elections due to its structural dominance since the 2024 general vote, when the party and its PT-PVEM coalition secured majorities in both chambers of Congress alongside President Claudia Sheinbaum’s decisive victory. Incumbency advantages, consolidated voter base, and coalition infrastructure have sustained this position into mid-2026 with no major shifts reported. Opposition parties remain fragmented and lack comparable organizational strength. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include significant declines in presidential approval, economic pressures affecting turnout, internal coalition fractures, or unexpected legal or scandal developments that erode Morena’s current lead.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Morena 97.5%
PVEM 1.4%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$39,840 거래량
$39,840 거래량
2027.06.06
Morena
98%
PVEM
1%
PRI
1%
MC
1%
PAN
<1%
PT
<1%
Morena 97.5%
PVEM 1.4%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$39,840 거래량
$39,840 거래량
2027.06.06
Morena
$14,975 거래량
98%
PVEM
$5,003 거래량
1%
PRI
$4,208 거래량
1%
MC
$6,706 거래량
1%
PAN
$4,456 거래량
<1%
PT
$4,492 거래량
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of Mexico’s 2027 legislative elections due to its structural dominance since the 2024 general vote, when the party and its PT-PVEM coalition secured majorities in both chambers of Congress alongside President Claudia Sheinbaum’s decisive victory. Incumbency advantages, consolidated voter base, and coalition infrastructure have sustained this position into mid-2026 with no major shifts reported. Opposition parties remain fragmented and lack comparable organizational strength. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include significant declines in presidential approval, economic pressures affecting turnout, internal coalition fractures, or unexpected legal or scandal developments that erode Morena’s current lead.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
거래량
$39,840종료일
2027.06.06마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of Mexico’s 2027 legislative elections due to its structural dominance since the 2024 general vote, when the party and its PT-PVEM coalition secured majorities in both chambers of Congress alongside President Claudia Sheinbaum’s decisive victory. Incumbency advantages, consolidated voter base, and coalition infrastructure have sustained this position into mid-2026 with no major shifts reported. Opposition parties remain fragmented and lack comparable organizational strength. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include significant declines in presidential approval, economic pressures affecting turnout, internal coalition fractures, or unexpected legal or scandal developments that erode Morena’s current lead.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
거래량
$39,840종료일
2027.06.06마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of Mexico’s 2027 legislative elections due to its structural dominance since the 2024 general vote, when the party and its PT-PVEM coalition secured majorities in both chambers of Congress alongside President Claudia Sheinbaum’s decisive victory. Incumbency advantages, consolidated voter base, and coalition infrastructure have sustained this position into mid-2026 with no major shifts reported. Opposition parties remain fragmented and lack comparable organizational strength. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include significant declines in presidential approval, economic pressures affecting turnout, internal coalition fractures, or unexpected legal or scandal developments that erode Morena’s current lead.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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