Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$57,801 거래량
$57,801 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
19%
$57,801 거래량
$57,801 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$31,353 거래량
76%
Democratic Party
$26,448 거래량
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$57,801종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$57,801종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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