Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed victory in the March 3 Democratic primary, capturing 100% of the vote amid low Republican turnout, solidifies her frontrunner status in solidly Democratic TX-07, where she won 61% in 2024 and Kamala Harris carried 64% in the presidential race. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, bolstered by Fletcher's $1.75 million cash-on-hand edge over GOP runoff contenders Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, who split primary votes heading into the May 26 runoff. Trader consensus at 92.5% Democratic reflects this entrenched advantage and historical incumbent strength in the Houston-area district. An upset would require a standout GOP nominee, scandal impacting Fletcher, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$4,536 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$1,983 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed victory in the March 3 Democratic primary, capturing 100% of the vote amid low Republican turnout, solidifies her frontrunner status in solidly Democratic TX-07, where she won 61% in 2024 and Kamala Harris carried 64% in the presidential race. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, bolstered by Fletcher's $1.75 million cash-on-hand edge over GOP runoff contenders Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, who split primary votes heading into the May 26 runoff. Trader consensus at 92.5% Democratic reflects this entrenched advantage and historical incumbent strength in the Houston-area district. An upset would require a standout GOP nominee, scandal impacting Fletcher, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$6,519종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed victory in the March 3 Democratic primary, capturing 100% of the vote amid low Republican turnout, solidifies her frontrunner status in solidly Democratic TX-07, where she won 61% in 2024 and Kamala Harris carried 64% in the presidential race. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, bolstered by Fletcher's $1.75 million cash-on-hand edge over GOP runoff contenders Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, who split primary votes heading into the May 26 runoff. Trader consensus at 92.5% Democratic reflects this entrenched advantage and historical incumbent strength in the Houston-area district. An upset would require a standout GOP nominee, scandal impacting Fletcher, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,519종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed victory in the March 3 Democratic primary, capturing 100% of the vote amid low Republican turnout, solidifies her frontrunner status in solidly Democratic TX-07, where she won 61% in 2024 and Kamala Harris carried 64% in the presidential race. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, bolstered by Fletcher's $1.75 million cash-on-hand edge over GOP runoff contenders Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, who split primary votes heading into the May 26 runoff. Trader consensus at 92.5% Democratic reflects this entrenched advantage and historical incumbent strength in the Houston-area district. An upset would require a standout GOP nominee, scandal impacting Fletcher, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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