The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 3rd congressional district, anchored by incumbent Representative Bobby Scott's long tenure and repeated victories exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, drives the market's 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. Recent court action voiding the April 2026 redistricting referendum has preserved existing boundaries ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primary, limiting opportunities for competitive redrawn lines. Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters reflect these structural factors and the absence of notable Republican momentum in the Hampton Roads area. Late primary surprises, unexpected national shifts, or significant candidate withdrawals remain the primary scenarios that could still influence general election outcomes on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$35,429 거래량
$35,429 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
7%
$35,429 거래량
$35,429 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$20,073 거래량
94%
공화당
$15,357 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 3rd congressional district, anchored by incumbent Representative Bobby Scott's long tenure and repeated victories exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, drives the market's 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. Recent court action voiding the April 2026 redistricting referendum has preserved existing boundaries ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primary, limiting opportunities for competitive redrawn lines. Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters reflect these structural factors and the absence of notable Republican momentum in the Hampton Roads area. Late primary surprises, unexpected national shifts, or significant candidate withdrawals remain the primary scenarios that could still influence general election outcomes on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$35,429종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 3rd congressional district, anchored by incumbent Representative Bobby Scott's long tenure and repeated victories exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, drives the market's 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. Recent court action voiding the April 2026 redistricting referendum has preserved existing boundaries ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primary, limiting opportunities for competitive redrawn lines. Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters reflect these structural factors and the absence of notable Republican momentum in the Hampton Roads area. Late primary surprises, unexpected national shifts, or significant candidate withdrawals remain the primary scenarios that could still influence general election outcomes on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$35,429종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 3rd congressional district, anchored by incumbent Representative Bobby Scott's long tenure and repeated victories exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, drives the market's 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. Recent court action voiding the April 2026 redistricting referendum has preserved existing boundaries ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primary, limiting opportunities for competitive redrawn lines. Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters reflect these structural factors and the absence of notable Republican momentum in the Hampton Roads area. Late primary surprises, unexpected national shifts, or significant candidate withdrawals remain the primary scenarios that could still influence general election outcomes on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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