Texas's 16th congressional district, anchored in El Paso, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and consistent election results. Incumbent Representative Veronica Escobar secured her party's nomination without significant opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Adam Bauman emerged from a May runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, driven by voter demographics, incumbency advantages, and limited Republican fundraising or name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a national political shift or unforeseen candidate development before November 3 could narrow the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,040 거래량
$11,040 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$11,040 거래량
$11,040 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$5,020 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$6,021 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 16th congressional district, anchored in El Paso, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and consistent election results. Incumbent Representative Veronica Escobar secured her party's nomination without significant opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Adam Bauman emerged from a May runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, driven by voter demographics, incumbency advantages, and limited Republican fundraising or name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a national political shift or unforeseen candidate development before November 3 could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$11,040종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 16th congressional district, anchored in El Paso, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and consistent election results. Incumbent Representative Veronica Escobar secured her party's nomination without significant opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Adam Bauman emerged from a May runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, driven by voter demographics, incumbency advantages, and limited Republican fundraising or name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a national political shift or unforeseen candidate development before November 3 could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,040종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 16th congressional district, anchored in El Paso, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and consistent election results. Incumbent Representative Veronica Escobar secured her party's nomination without significant opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Adam Bauman emerged from a May runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, driven by voter demographics, incumbency advantages, and limited Republican fundraising or name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a national political shift or unforeseen candidate development before November 3 could narrow the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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