North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by Durham and Orange counties and reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Valerie Foushee, the sitting representative first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after a narrow primary contest against Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur on the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s established partisan voting index and the absence of any competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts. A late-breaking personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment, would represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,225 거래량
$12,225 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
7%
$12,225 거래량
$12,225 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$7,607 거래량
94%
공화당
$4,618 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by Durham and Orange counties and reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Valerie Foushee, the sitting representative first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after a narrow primary contest against Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur on the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s established partisan voting index and the absence of any competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts. A late-breaking personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment, would represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$12,225종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by Durham and Orange counties and reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Valerie Foushee, the sitting representative first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after a narrow primary contest against Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur on the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s established partisan voting index and the absence of any competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts. A late-breaking personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment, would represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,225종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by Durham and Orange counties and reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Valerie Foushee, the sitting representative first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 after a narrow primary contest against Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur on the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s established partisan voting index and the absence of any competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts. A late-breaking personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment, would represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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