Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has delivered Democratic victories exceeding 66 percent in recent general elections. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern is seeking reelection in the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary and November general election, with no competitive Republican candidate identified and forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. These structural factors—consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantage, and limited opposition—underpin the market's 92.5 percent consensus on a Democratic winner. A shift in outcome would require an unexpected retirement by McGovern, a significant late development altering the district's voting patterns, or an unusually strong Republican nominee capable of overcoming the established margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,112 거래량
$30,112 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
7%
$30,112 거래량
$30,112 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$20,341 거래량
93%
공화당
$9,771 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has delivered Democratic victories exceeding 66 percent in recent general elections. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern is seeking reelection in the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary and November general election, with no competitive Republican candidate identified and forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. These structural factors—consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantage, and limited opposition—underpin the market's 92.5 percent consensus on a Democratic winner. A shift in outcome would require an unexpected retirement by McGovern, a significant late development altering the district's voting patterns, or an unusually strong Republican nominee capable of overcoming the established margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$30,112종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has delivered Democratic victories exceeding 66 percent in recent general elections. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern is seeking reelection in the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary and November general election, with no competitive Republican candidate identified and forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. These structural factors—consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantage, and limited opposition—underpin the market's 92.5 percent consensus on a Democratic winner. A shift in outcome would require an unexpected retirement by McGovern, a significant late development altering the district's voting patterns, or an unusually strong Republican nominee capable of overcoming the established margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$30,112종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has delivered Democratic victories exceeding 66 percent in recent general elections. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern is seeking reelection in the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary and November general election, with no competitive Republican candidate identified and forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. These structural factors—consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantage, and limited opposition—underpin the market's 92.5 percent consensus on a Democratic winner. A shift in outcome would require an unexpected retirement by McGovern, a significant late development altering the district's voting patterns, or an unusually strong Republican nominee capable of overcoming the established margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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