The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern's reelection bid faces no credible Republican opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Filing deadlines for primaries remain open but have not produced competitive challengers. Historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments that could shift the balance reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unexpected national political wave could still alter outcomes, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$33,266 거래량
$33,266 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$33,266 거래량
$33,266 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$21,545 거래량
94%
공화당
$11,721 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern's reelection bid faces no credible Republican opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Filing deadlines for primaries remain open but have not produced competitive challengers. Historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments that could shift the balance reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unexpected national political wave could still alter outcomes, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$33,266종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern's reelection bid faces no credible Republican opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Filing deadlines for primaries remain open but have not produced competitive challengers. Historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments that could shift the balance reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unexpected national political wave could still alter outcomes, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$33,266종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern's reelection bid faces no credible Republican opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Filing deadlines for primaries remain open but have not produced competitive challengers. Historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments that could shift the balance reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unexpected national political wave could still alter outcomes, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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