Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Jim McGovern in recent cycles. The longtime representative, first elected in 1997, faces no announced major Republican challengers ahead of the September 2026 primary and November general election, supporting trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, with historical voting patterns and the absence of notable shifts in polling or candidate filings over the past month reinforcing the current positioning. A late Republican surge or unexpected national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$33,266 거래량
$33,266 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$33,266 거래량
$33,266 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$21,545 거래량
94%
공화당
$11,721 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Jim McGovern in recent cycles. The longtime representative, first elected in 1997, faces no announced major Republican challengers ahead of the September 2026 primary and November general election, supporting trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, with historical voting patterns and the absence of notable shifts in polling or candidate filings over the past month reinforcing the current positioning. A late Republican surge or unexpected national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$33,266종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Jim McGovern in recent cycles. The longtime representative, first elected in 1997, faces no announced major Republican challengers ahead of the September 2026 primary and November general election, supporting trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, with historical voting patterns and the absence of notable shifts in polling or candidate filings over the past month reinforcing the current positioning. A late Republican surge or unexpected national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$33,266종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Jim McGovern in recent cycles. The longtime representative, first elected in 1997, faces no announced major Republican challengers ahead of the September 2026 primary and November general election, supporting trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, with historical voting patterns and the absence of notable shifts in polling or candidate filings over the past month reinforcing the current positioning. A late Republican surge or unexpected national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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