California’s 31st congressional district favors Democratic candidates following recent redistricting under Proposition 50, which strengthened the party’s position in the state’s House map. Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and historical performance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates this structural lean alongside the incumbent’s established position and limited Republican opposition. A significant shift would require an unexpected national political realignment or late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan makeup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,015 거래량
$10,015 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$10,015 거래량
$10,015 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,902 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$3,113 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 31st congressional district favors Democratic candidates following recent redistricting under Proposition 50, which strengthened the party’s position in the state’s House map. Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and historical performance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates this structural lean alongside the incumbent’s established position and limited Republican opposition. A significant shift would require an unexpected national political realignment or late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$10,015종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 31st congressional district favors Democratic candidates following recent redistricting under Proposition 50, which strengthened the party’s position in the state’s House map. Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and historical performance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates this structural lean alongside the incumbent’s established position and limited Republican opposition. A significant shift would require an unexpected national political realignment or late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,015종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 31st congressional district favors Democratic candidates following recent redistricting under Proposition 50, which strengthened the party’s position in the state’s House map. Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and historical performance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates this structural lean alongside the incumbent’s established position and limited Republican opposition. A significant shift would require an unexpected national political realignment or late-cycle development capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan makeup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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