The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the CA-26 House race reflects the district's consistent Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly nine points and an open seat previously held by a Democrat for over a decade. Recent top-two primary results on June 2 advanced state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin with over 40 percent of the vote against Republican Samuel Gallucci, who received about 22 percent, setting up a November general election matchup. Trader consensus prices align with historical patterns in similar California districts and the absence of major polling shifts or competitive Republican momentum in the past month. Late developments such as national political realignments, significant candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout changes could still influence the outcome before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,443 거래량
$29,443 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$29,443 거래량
$29,443 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$15,836 거래량
94%
공화당
$13,607 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the CA-26 House race reflects the district's consistent Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly nine points and an open seat previously held by a Democrat for over a decade. Recent top-two primary results on June 2 advanced state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin with over 40 percent of the vote against Republican Samuel Gallucci, who received about 22 percent, setting up a November general election matchup. Trader consensus prices align with historical patterns in similar California districts and the absence of major polling shifts or competitive Republican momentum in the past month. Late developments such as national political realignments, significant candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout changes could still influence the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$29,443종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the CA-26 House race reflects the district's consistent Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly nine points and an open seat previously held by a Democrat for over a decade. Recent top-two primary results on June 2 advanced state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin with over 40 percent of the vote against Republican Samuel Gallucci, who received about 22 percent, setting up a November general election matchup. Trader consensus prices align with historical patterns in similar California districts and the absence of major polling shifts or competitive Republican momentum in the past month. Late developments such as national political realignments, significant candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout changes could still influence the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$29,443종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the CA-26 House race reflects the district's consistent Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly nine points and an open seat previously held by a Democrat for over a decade. Recent top-two primary results on June 2 advanced state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin with over 40 percent of the vote against Republican Samuel Gallucci, who received about 22 percent, setting up a November general election matchup. Trader consensus prices align with historical patterns in similar California districts and the absence of major polling shifts or competitive Republican momentum in the past month. Late developments such as national political realignments, significant candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout changes could still influence the outcome before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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