Incumbent Rep. Laura Friedman (D) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 30th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and lopsided voter registration favoring Democrats. Friedman's 68% general election margin in 2024, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $786,000 and endorsements from EMILYs List, positions her to dominate the June 2 top-two primary against challengers like Pini Herman (D) and Republicans Dennis Feitosa and Scott Meyers. The Los Angeles suburbs district's historical reliability for Democrats leaves scant path for a GOP upset in November, barring a primary surprise sending two Republicans to the general, a late scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,697 거래량
$10,697 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
8%
$10,697 거래량
$10,697 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$5,969 거래량
93%
공화당
$4,728 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Laura Friedman (D) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 30th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and lopsided voter registration favoring Democrats. Friedman's 68% general election margin in 2024, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $786,000 and endorsements from EMILYs List, positions her to dominate the June 2 top-two primary against challengers like Pini Herman (D) and Republicans Dennis Feitosa and Scott Meyers. The Los Angeles suburbs district's historical reliability for Democrats leaves scant path for a GOP upset in November, barring a primary surprise sending two Republicans to the general, a late scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$10,697종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Laura Friedman (D) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 30th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and lopsided voter registration favoring Democrats. Friedman's 68% general election margin in 2024, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $786,000 and endorsements from EMILYs List, positions her to dominate the June 2 top-two primary against challengers like Pini Herman (D) and Republicans Dennis Feitosa and Scott Meyers. The Los Angeles suburbs district's historical reliability for Democrats leaves scant path for a GOP upset in November, barring a primary surprise sending two Republicans to the general, a late scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,697종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Laura Friedman (D) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 30th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and lopsided voter registration favoring Democrats. Friedman's 68% general election margin in 2024, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $786,000 and endorsements from EMILYs List, positions her to dominate the June 2 top-two primary against challengers like Pini Herman (D) and Republicans Dennis Feitosa and Scott Meyers. The Los Angeles suburbs district's historical reliability for Democrats leaves scant path for a GOP upset in November, barring a primary surprise sending two Republicans to the general, a late scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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