Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz holds a commanding edge in California's 25th congressional district for the 2026 House election, consistent with trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The seat's D+3 to D+4 partisan lean, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, provides a structural advantage, while Ruiz maintains over $2.4 million in cash on hand against far smaller Republican totals. A splintered GOP primary on June 2, featuring Joe Males, Ceci Andrade Truman, and Ronald Huffman, further limits unified opposition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid Democratic, with no major polling changes or developments in recent weeks shifting the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,454 거래량
88%
Republican Party
$615 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz holds a commanding edge in California's 25th congressional district for the 2026 House election, consistent with trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The seat's D+3 to D+4 partisan lean, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, provides a structural advantage, while Ruiz maintains over $2.4 million in cash on hand against far smaller Republican totals. A splintered GOP primary on June 2, featuring Joe Males, Ceci Andrade Truman, and Ronald Huffman, further limits unified opposition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid Democratic, with no major polling changes or developments in recent weeks shifting the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$3,069종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz holds a commanding edge in California's 25th congressional district for the 2026 House election, consistent with trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The seat's D+3 to D+4 partisan lean, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, provides a structural advantage, while Ruiz maintains over $2.4 million in cash on hand against far smaller Republican totals. A splintered GOP primary on June 2, featuring Joe Males, Ceci Andrade Truman, and Ronald Huffman, further limits unified opposition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid Democratic, with no major polling changes or developments in recent weeks shifting the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,069종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz holds a commanding edge in California's 25th congressional district for the 2026 House election, consistent with trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The seat's D+3 to D+4 partisan lean, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, provides a structural advantage, while Ruiz maintains over $2.4 million in cash on hand against far smaller Republican totals. A splintered GOP primary on June 2, featuring Joe Males, Ceci Andrade Truman, and Ronald Huffman, further limits unified opposition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid Democratic, with no major polling changes or developments in recent weeks shifting the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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