Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 primary in California's 25th congressional district, securing roughly 58-61% of the vote against multiple Republican challengers. The district's structural Democratic tilt, Ruiz's established incumbency since 2013, and consistent prior general election margins above 56% underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 90.5%. Fundraising reports showed Ruiz leading his nearest opponent by a wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include a broad national political shift favoring Republicans in the November 2026 midterms, a significant personal or legal issue involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,807 거래량
91%
Republican Party
$670 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 primary in California's 25th congressional district, securing roughly 58-61% of the vote against multiple Republican challengers. The district's structural Democratic tilt, Ruiz's established incumbency since 2013, and consistent prior general election margins above 56% underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 90.5%. Fundraising reports showed Ruiz leading his nearest opponent by a wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include a broad national political shift favoring Republicans in the November 2026 midterms, a significant personal or legal issue involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$3,478종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 primary in California's 25th congressional district, securing roughly 58-61% of the vote against multiple Republican challengers. The district's structural Democratic tilt, Ruiz's established incumbency since 2013, and consistent prior general election margins above 56% underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 90.5%. Fundraising reports showed Ruiz leading his nearest opponent by a wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include a broad national political shift favoring Republicans in the November 2026 midterms, a significant personal or legal issue involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,478종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026 primary in California's 25th congressional district, securing roughly 58-61% of the vote against multiple Republican challengers. The district's structural Democratic tilt, Ruiz's established incumbency since 2013, and consistent prior general election margins above 56% underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 90.5%. Fundraising reports showed Ruiz leading his nearest opponent by a wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include a broad national political shift favoring Republicans in the November 2026 midterms, a significant personal or legal issue involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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