The upcoming Republican primary on June 23 between incumbent Representative Blake Moore and state Representative Karianne Lisonbee stands as the main driver of trader consensus in Utah's 2nd congressional district race. Delegates at the state convention backed Lisonbee by a wide margin, though Moore secured ballot access through signature gathering, leaving the nominee unresolved until voters decide. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby advanced without opposition after his party's primary was canceled. Cook Political Report and other forecasters continue to rate the seat solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent electoral patterns and the limited general-election threat from the Democratic side. This primary uncertainty has kept the implied probability for a Republican general-election victory at current levels while highlighting the role of turnout and party cohesion in the coming weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
13%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$93 거래량
86%
Democratic Party
$195 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The upcoming Republican primary on June 23 between incumbent Representative Blake Moore and state Representative Karianne Lisonbee stands as the main driver of trader consensus in Utah's 2nd congressional district race. Delegates at the state convention backed Lisonbee by a wide margin, though Moore secured ballot access through signature gathering, leaving the nominee unresolved until voters decide. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby advanced without opposition after his party's primary was canceled. Cook Political Report and other forecasters continue to rate the seat solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent electoral patterns and the limited general-election threat from the Democratic side. This primary uncertainty has kept the implied probability for a Republican general-election victory at current levels while highlighting the role of turnout and party cohesion in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$288종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The upcoming Republican primary on June 23 between incumbent Representative Blake Moore and state Representative Karianne Lisonbee stands as the main driver of trader consensus in Utah's 2nd congressional district race. Delegates at the state convention backed Lisonbee by a wide margin, though Moore secured ballot access through signature gathering, leaving the nominee unresolved until voters decide. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby advanced without opposition after his party's primary was canceled. Cook Political Report and other forecasters continue to rate the seat solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent electoral patterns and the limited general-election threat from the Democratic side. This primary uncertainty has kept the implied probability for a Republican general-election victory at current levels while highlighting the role of turnout and party cohesion in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$288종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The upcoming Republican primary on June 23 between incumbent Representative Blake Moore and state Representative Karianne Lisonbee stands as the main driver of trader consensus in Utah's 2nd congressional district race. Delegates at the state convention backed Lisonbee by a wide margin, though Moore secured ballot access through signature gathering, leaving the nominee unresolved until voters decide. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby advanced without opposition after his party's primary was canceled. Cook Political Report and other forecasters continue to rate the seat solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent electoral patterns and the limited general-election threat from the Democratic side. This primary uncertainty has kept the implied probability for a Republican general-election victory at current levels while highlighting the role of turnout and party cohesion in the coming weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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