Utah’s newly redrawn 2nd congressional district, covering northern counties including Cache, Box Elder, and Davis, tilts heavily Republican, with the 2024 presidential results showing a 29-point margin for the GOP. This structural advantage drives the current 74.5% Republican consensus price ahead of the November 3 general election. The June 23 Republican primary between incumbent Blake Moore and challenger Karianne Lisonbee will determine the nominee, yet both candidates operate in a district where Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces steep structural headwinds. Recent convention results and fundraising disparities underscore the primary contest but do not alter the broader partisan lean that shapes trader expectations for the general election outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
73%
Democratic Party
22%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$0 거래량
73%
Democratic Party
$195 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s newly redrawn 2nd congressional district, covering northern counties including Cache, Box Elder, and Davis, tilts heavily Republican, with the 2024 presidential results showing a 29-point margin for the GOP. This structural advantage drives the current 74.5% Republican consensus price ahead of the November 3 general election. The June 23 Republican primary between incumbent Blake Moore and challenger Karianne Lisonbee will determine the nominee, yet both candidates operate in a district where Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces steep structural headwinds. Recent convention results and fundraising disparities underscore the primary contest but do not alter the broader partisan lean that shapes trader expectations for the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$195종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s newly redrawn 2nd congressional district, covering northern counties including Cache, Box Elder, and Davis, tilts heavily Republican, with the 2024 presidential results showing a 29-point margin for the GOP. This structural advantage drives the current 74.5% Republican consensus price ahead of the November 3 general election. The June 23 Republican primary between incumbent Blake Moore and challenger Karianne Lisonbee will determine the nominee, yet both candidates operate in a district where Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces steep structural headwinds. Recent convention results and fundraising disparities underscore the primary contest but do not alter the broader partisan lean that shapes trader expectations for the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$195종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s newly redrawn 2nd congressional district, covering northern counties including Cache, Box Elder, and Davis, tilts heavily Republican, with the 2024 presidential results showing a 29-point margin for the GOP. This structural advantage drives the current 74.5% Republican consensus price ahead of the November 3 general election. The June 23 Republican primary between incumbent Blake Moore and challenger Karianne Lisonbee will determine the nominee, yet both candidates operate in a district where Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces steep structural headwinds. Recent convention results and fundraising disparities underscore the primary contest but do not alter the broader partisan lean that shapes trader expectations for the general election outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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