The market for Michigan’s 7th congressional district reflects trader consensus that a Democratic nominee is the clear favorite to capture the seat in November 2026. The even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasting groups underscore the district’s competitiveness, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeks a second term after winning narrowly in 2024. Democratic primary contenders, including former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink and Navy veteran Matt Maasdam, have drawn attention through substantial early fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 4 open primary. Historical midterm patterns, in which the party out of the White House often gains ground, appear to be shaping current positioning more than any single recent event, leaving room for shifts once nominees are set and general-election polling intensifies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
18%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$4,651 거래량
81%
Republican Party
$1,912 거래량
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The market for Michigan’s 7th congressional district reflects trader consensus that a Democratic nominee is the clear favorite to capture the seat in November 2026. The even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasting groups underscore the district’s competitiveness, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeks a second term after winning narrowly in 2024. Democratic primary contenders, including former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink and Navy veteran Matt Maasdam, have drawn attention through substantial early fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 4 open primary. Historical midterm patterns, in which the party out of the White House often gains ground, appear to be shaping current positioning more than any single recent event, leaving room for shifts once nominees are set and general-election polling intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$6,563종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The market for Michigan’s 7th congressional district reflects trader consensus that a Democratic nominee is the clear favorite to capture the seat in November 2026. The even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasting groups underscore the district’s competitiveness, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeks a second term after winning narrowly in 2024. Democratic primary contenders, including former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink and Navy veteran Matt Maasdam, have drawn attention through substantial early fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 4 open primary. Historical midterm patterns, in which the party out of the White House often gains ground, appear to be shaping current positioning more than any single recent event, leaving room for shifts once nominees are set and general-election polling intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,563종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The market for Michigan’s 7th congressional district reflects trader consensus that a Democratic nominee is the clear favorite to capture the seat in November 2026. The even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasting groups underscore the district’s competitiveness, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeks a second term after winning narrowly in 2024. Democratic primary contenders, including former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink and Navy veteran Matt Maasdam, have drawn attention through substantial early fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 4 open primary. Historical midterm patterns, in which the party out of the White House often gains ground, appear to be shaping current positioning more than any single recent event, leaving room for shifts once nominees are set and general-election polling intensifies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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