Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s long tenure since 2009 and the district’s consistent Democratic lean—encompassing Portland and coastal southern Maine—anchor trader expectations for a party hold. She secured 58 percent in 2024 against limited opposition, and the 2026 Republican primary field remains thin with candidates lacking broad name recognition or fundraising momentum ahead of the June 9 primaries. The general election on November 3 offers little structural path for Republicans absent a major national shift or unforeseen primary surprise. Traders price this safe-seat dynamic into the 94.5 percent Democratic probability, with only low-probability scenarios such as an unusually strong Republican turnout or late candidate developments likely to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$33,766 거래량
$33,766 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
6%
$33,766 거래량
$33,766 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$25,322 거래량
95%
공화당
$8,444 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s long tenure since 2009 and the district’s consistent Democratic lean—encompassing Portland and coastal southern Maine—anchor trader expectations for a party hold. She secured 58 percent in 2024 against limited opposition, and the 2026 Republican primary field remains thin with candidates lacking broad name recognition or fundraising momentum ahead of the June 9 primaries. The general election on November 3 offers little structural path for Republicans absent a major national shift or unforeseen primary surprise. Traders price this safe-seat dynamic into the 94.5 percent Democratic probability, with only low-probability scenarios such as an unusually strong Republican turnout or late candidate developments likely to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$33,766종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s long tenure since 2009 and the district’s consistent Democratic lean—encompassing Portland and coastal southern Maine—anchor trader expectations for a party hold. She secured 58 percent in 2024 against limited opposition, and the 2026 Republican primary field remains thin with candidates lacking broad name recognition or fundraising momentum ahead of the June 9 primaries. The general election on November 3 offers little structural path for Republicans absent a major national shift or unforeseen primary surprise. Traders price this safe-seat dynamic into the 94.5 percent Democratic probability, with only low-probability scenarios such as an unusually strong Republican turnout or late candidate developments likely to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$33,766종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s long tenure since 2009 and the district’s consistent Democratic lean—encompassing Portland and coastal southern Maine—anchor trader expectations for a party hold. She secured 58 percent in 2024 against limited opposition, and the 2026 Republican primary field remains thin with candidates lacking broad name recognition or fundraising momentum ahead of the June 9 primaries. The general election on November 3 offers little structural path for Republicans absent a major national shift or unforeseen primary surprise. Traders price this safe-seat dynamic into the 94.5 percent Democratic probability, with only low-probability scenarios such as an unusually strong Republican turnout or late candidate developments likely to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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