Longtime Democratic incumbent Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine's 1st Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, driven by the seat's D+11 partisan voter index and her consistent reelection margins, including 58 percent in 2024. The June 9 primary features limited Democratic opposition while Republicans select between challengers Ron Russell and Joshua Pietrowicz, neither of whom has demonstrated broad appeal in this coastal and southern Maine district that includes Portland. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, historical voting patterns favoring Democrats by double digits, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, a significant shift in voter turnout among key blocs, or unforeseen events affecting the incumbent's standing before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$31,456 거래량
$31,456 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
6%
$31,456 거래량
$31,456 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$23,012 거래량
93%
공화당
$8,444 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine's 1st Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, driven by the seat's D+11 partisan voter index and her consistent reelection margins, including 58 percent in 2024. The June 9 primary features limited Democratic opposition while Republicans select between challengers Ron Russell and Joshua Pietrowicz, neither of whom has demonstrated broad appeal in this coastal and southern Maine district that includes Portland. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, historical voting patterns favoring Democrats by double digits, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, a significant shift in voter turnout among key blocs, or unforeseen events affecting the incumbent's standing before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$31,456종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine's 1st Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, driven by the seat's D+11 partisan voter index and her consistent reelection margins, including 58 percent in 2024. The June 9 primary features limited Democratic opposition while Republicans select between challengers Ron Russell and Joshua Pietrowicz, neither of whom has demonstrated broad appeal in this coastal and southern Maine district that includes Portland. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, historical voting patterns favoring Democrats by double digits, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, a significant shift in voter turnout among key blocs, or unforeseen events affecting the incumbent's standing before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$31,456종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine's 1st Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, driven by the seat's D+11 partisan voter index and her consistent reelection margins, including 58 percent in 2024. The June 9 primary features limited Democratic opposition while Republicans select between challengers Ron Russell and Joshua Pietrowicz, neither of whom has demonstrated broad appeal in this coastal and southern Maine district that includes Portland. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, historical voting patterns favoring Democrats by double digits, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, a significant shift in voter turnout among key blocs, or unforeseen events affecting the incumbent's standing before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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