Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum seeks reelection in Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball due to its strong partisan lean and consistent performance in recent cycles. McCollum, first elected in 2000 and reelected with roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 before the November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders have limited visibility and fundraising, while the district’s urban-suburban composition in Ramsey and parts of Washington counties continues to favor Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical margins, though late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,370 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$4,692 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum seeks reelection in Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball due to its strong partisan lean and consistent performance in recent cycles. McCollum, first elected in 2000 and reelected with roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 before the November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders have limited visibility and fundraising, while the district’s urban-suburban composition in Ramsey and parts of Washington counties continues to favor Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical margins, though late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$8,062종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum seeks reelection in Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball due to its strong partisan lean and consistent performance in recent cycles. McCollum, first elected in 2000 and reelected with roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 before the November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders have limited visibility and fundraising, while the district’s urban-suburban composition in Ramsey and parts of Washington counties continues to favor Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical margins, though late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,062종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum seeks reelection in Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball due to its strong partisan lean and consistent performance in recent cycles. McCollum, first elected in 2000 and reelected with roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 before the November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders have limited visibility and fundraising, while the district’s urban-suburban composition in Ramsey and parts of Washington counties continues to favor Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical margins, though late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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