Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean of R+19 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, positioning the GOP nominee for a commanding advantage in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Steve Scalise faces minimal opposition after recent qualifying deadlines shifted the full contest forward, while Democratic primary contenders poll far behind with no signs of a competitive general election challenge emerging. Recent redistricting developments and court rulings on Louisiana’s congressional map have further solidified the seat’s structural Republican tilt, consistent with historical voting patterns and analyst ratings labeling it safe Republican. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican Party reflects this established reality. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented national wave, significant Republican turnout collapse, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$34,248 거래량
$34,248 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
91%
민주당
11%
$34,248 거래량
$34,248 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$16,035 거래량
91%
민주당
$18,213 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean of R+19 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, positioning the GOP nominee for a commanding advantage in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Steve Scalise faces minimal opposition after recent qualifying deadlines shifted the full contest forward, while Democratic primary contenders poll far behind with no signs of a competitive general election challenge emerging. Recent redistricting developments and court rulings on Louisiana’s congressional map have further solidified the seat’s structural Republican tilt, consistent with historical voting patterns and analyst ratings labeling it safe Republican. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican Party reflects this established reality. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented national wave, significant Republican turnout collapse, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$34,248종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean of R+19 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, positioning the GOP nominee for a commanding advantage in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Steve Scalise faces minimal opposition after recent qualifying deadlines shifted the full contest forward, while Democratic primary contenders poll far behind with no signs of a competitive general election challenge emerging. Recent redistricting developments and court rulings on Louisiana’s congressional map have further solidified the seat’s structural Republican tilt, consistent with historical voting patterns and analyst ratings labeling it safe Republican. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican Party reflects this established reality. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented national wave, significant Republican turnout collapse, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$34,248종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean of R+19 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, positioning the GOP nominee for a commanding advantage in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Steve Scalise faces minimal opposition after recent qualifying deadlines shifted the full contest forward, while Democratic primary contenders poll far behind with no signs of a competitive general election challenge emerging. Recent redistricting developments and court rulings on Louisiana’s congressional map have further solidified the seat’s structural Republican tilt, consistent with historical voting patterns and analyst ratings labeling it safe Republican. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican Party reflects this established reality. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented national wave, significant Republican turnout collapse, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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