The open seat in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany to pursue the governorship, continues to favor the Republican nominee according to trader consensus. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, derived from recent presidential results, provides a durable structural advantage that has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. Multiple candidates have entered both parties’ August 11 primaries, including Republicans Kevin Hermening, Jessi Ebben, and Michael Alfonso, while Democrats Fred Clark, Ginger Murray, and Chris Armstrong compete on the other side. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting limited recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan lean ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$17,886 거래량
$17,886 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
82%
민주당
16%
$17,886 거래량
$17,886 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,874 거래량
82%
민주당
$9,011 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany to pursue the governorship, continues to favor the Republican nominee according to trader consensus. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, derived from recent presidential results, provides a durable structural advantage that has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. Multiple candidates have entered both parties’ August 11 primaries, including Republicans Kevin Hermening, Jessi Ebben, and Michael Alfonso, while Democrats Fred Clark, Ginger Murray, and Chris Armstrong compete on the other side. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting limited recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan lean ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$17,886종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany to pursue the governorship, continues to favor the Republican nominee according to trader consensus. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, derived from recent presidential results, provides a durable structural advantage that has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. Multiple candidates have entered both parties’ August 11 primaries, including Republicans Kevin Hermening, Jessi Ebben, and Michael Alfonso, while Democrats Fred Clark, Ginger Murray, and Chris Armstrong compete on the other side. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting limited recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan lean ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$17,886종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany to pursue the governorship, continues to favor the Republican nominee according to trader consensus. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, derived from recent presidential results, provides a durable structural advantage that has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. Multiple candidates have entered both parties’ August 11 primaries, including Republicans Kevin Hermening, Jessi Ebben, and Michael Alfonso, while Democrats Fred Clark, Ginger Murray, and Chris Armstrong compete on the other side. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting limited recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan lean ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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