Texas's 23rd congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in the 2026 cycle, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the general election Likely Republican. Following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid a personal scandal, Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary outright. A March 2026 poll showed Herrera leading Stout by two points in a head-to-head matchup. The district's voting patterns, combined with Herrera's primary performance and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome on November 3, though the race retains some competitiveness given the district's occasional swing potential.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$27,284 거래량
$27,284 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
28%
$27,284 거래량
$27,284 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$15,150 거래량
70%
Democratic Party
$12,134 거래량
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 23rd congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in the 2026 cycle, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the general election Likely Republican. Following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid a personal scandal, Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary outright. A March 2026 poll showed Herrera leading Stout by two points in a head-to-head matchup. The district's voting patterns, combined with Herrera's primary performance and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome on November 3, though the race retains some competitiveness given the district's occasional swing potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$27,284종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 23rd congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in the 2026 cycle, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the general election Likely Republican. Following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid a personal scandal, Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary outright. A March 2026 poll showed Herrera leading Stout by two points in a head-to-head matchup. The district's voting patterns, combined with Herrera's primary performance and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome on November 3, though the race retains some competitiveness given the district's occasional swing potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$27,284종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 23rd congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in the 2026 cycle, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the general election Likely Republican. Following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid a personal scandal, Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary outright. A March 2026 poll showed Herrera leading Stout by two points in a head-to-head matchup. The district's voting patterns, combined with Herrera's primary performance and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome on November 3, though the race retains some competitiveness given the district's occasional swing potential.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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