Wisconsin's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in its Milwaukee-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent securing 74.8% in the prior general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3, 2026, general election. Recent court rulings have upheld the existing congressional map, limiting immediate redistricting shifts that could alter the minority-majority composition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and limited Republican primary activity. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to district lines, an unexpected primary outcome, or major national political realignments before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,230 거래량
$19,230 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
4%
$19,230 거래량
$19,230 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$5,971 거래량
94%
공화당
$13,259 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in its Milwaukee-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent securing 74.8% in the prior general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3, 2026, general election. Recent court rulings have upheld the existing congressional map, limiting immediate redistricting shifts that could alter the minority-majority composition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and limited Republican primary activity. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to district lines, an unexpected primary outcome, or major national political realignments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$19,230종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in its Milwaukee-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent securing 74.8% in the prior general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3, 2026, general election. Recent court rulings have upheld the existing congressional map, limiting immediate redistricting shifts that could alter the minority-majority composition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and limited Republican primary activity. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to district lines, an unexpected primary outcome, or major national political realignments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,230종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in its Milwaukee-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent securing 74.8% in the prior general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3, 2026, general election. Recent court rulings have upheld the existing congressional map, limiting immediate redistricting shifts that could alter the minority-majority composition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and limited Republican primary activity. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to district lines, an unexpected primary outcome, or major national political realignments before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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