The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s February 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn large primary fields ahead of the June 9 contests. Trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican nominee nevertheless tracks the district’s R+7 partisan voter index and its record of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report continue to rate the general election Solid Republican, citing limited crossover potential across the sprawling northern Nevada territory that includes Reno, Sparks, and Carson City. While Democrats view the vacancy as their strongest opening in decades, the underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns continue to anchor expectations for a Republican hold in November 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,158 거래량
$16,158 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
73%
민주당
27%
$16,158 거래량
$16,158 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$10,660 거래량
73%
민주당
$5,498 거래량
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s February 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn large primary fields ahead of the June 9 contests. Trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican nominee nevertheless tracks the district’s R+7 partisan voter index and its record of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report continue to rate the general election Solid Republican, citing limited crossover potential across the sprawling northern Nevada territory that includes Reno, Sparks, and Carson City. While Democrats view the vacancy as their strongest opening in decades, the underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns continue to anchor expectations for a Republican hold in November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$16,158종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s February 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn large primary fields ahead of the June 9 contests. Trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican nominee nevertheless tracks the district’s R+7 partisan voter index and its record of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report continue to rate the general election Solid Republican, citing limited crossover potential across the sprawling northern Nevada territory that includes Reno, Sparks, and Carson City. While Democrats view the vacancy as their strongest opening in decades, the underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns continue to anchor expectations for a Republican hold in November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$16,158종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s February 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn large primary fields ahead of the June 9 contests. Trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican nominee nevertheless tracks the district’s R+7 partisan voter index and its record of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report continue to rate the general election Solid Republican, citing limited crossover potential across the sprawling northern Nevada territory that includes Reno, Sparks, and Carson City. While Democrats view the vacancy as their strongest opening in decades, the underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns continue to anchor expectations for a Republican hold in November 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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