Incumbent Katherine Clark holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 that has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Strong polling leads in the September 1 Democratic primary against challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman, combined with Clark's record fundraising and cash on hand, reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Absence of credible Republican opposition further solidifies the outlook. Shifts could occur through an unexpected primary scandal, late Republican recruitment during a national wave, or unforeseen health developments, though structural barriers limit the likelihood of such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,568 거래량
$26,568 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
5%
$26,568 거래량
$26,568 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$17,718 거래량
95%
공화당
$8,850 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Katherine Clark holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 that has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Strong polling leads in the September 1 Democratic primary against challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman, combined with Clark's record fundraising and cash on hand, reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Absence of credible Republican opposition further solidifies the outlook. Shifts could occur through an unexpected primary scandal, late Republican recruitment during a national wave, or unforeseen health developments, though structural barriers limit the likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$26,568종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Katherine Clark holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 that has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Strong polling leads in the September 1 Democratic primary against challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman, combined with Clark's record fundraising and cash on hand, reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Absence of credible Republican opposition further solidifies the outlook. Shifts could occur through an unexpected primary scandal, late Republican recruitment during a national wave, or unforeseen health developments, though structural barriers limit the likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,568종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Katherine Clark holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 that has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Strong polling leads in the September 1 Democratic primary against challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman, combined with Clark's record fundraising and cash on hand, reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Absence of credible Republican opposition further solidifies the outlook. Shifts could occur through an unexpected primary scandal, late Republican recruitment during a national wave, or unforeseen health developments, though structural barriers limit the likelihood of such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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