Incumbent Democrat Katherine Clark seeks re-election in Massachusetts’ 5th congressional district, a seat long defined by its strong Democratic partisan lean and consistent electoral results. Recent polling in the September 1 Democratic primary shows Clark holding commanding leads of 48 to 54 points over challengers, while Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic. Republican primary candidates, including prior nominee Caroline Colarusso, have not demonstrated competitive strength in this D+24 environment. The November 3 general election remains months away, but trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s voting history, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major recent disruptions that could alter the trajectory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,568 거래량
$26,568 거래량
민주당
95%
공화당
5%
$26,568 거래량
$26,568 거래량
민주당
95%
공화당
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Katherine Clark seeks re-election in Massachusetts’ 5th congressional district, a seat long defined by its strong Democratic partisan lean and consistent electoral results. Recent polling in the September 1 Democratic primary shows Clark holding commanding leads of 48 to 54 points over challengers, while Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic. Republican primary candidates, including prior nominee Caroline Colarusso, have not demonstrated competitive strength in this D+24 environment. The November 3 general election remains months away, but trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s voting history, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major recent disruptions that could alter the trajectory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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