California’s 44th congressional district, encompassing urban areas of South Los Angeles, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Nanette Barragán faces minimal opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with Republican fundraising and visibility trailing far behind Democratic efforts. This structural advantage and the district’s voting history underpin the 93.5% trader consensus on a Democratic winner, while the 5.5% Republican share aligns with historical margins. A late primary upset or unprecedented general-election surge by the Republican nominee remains possible but would require shifts far outside recent patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,035 거래량
$23,035 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$23,035 거래량
$23,035 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,854 거래량
94%
공화당
$8,181 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 44th congressional district, encompassing urban areas of South Los Angeles, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Nanette Barragán faces minimal opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with Republican fundraising and visibility trailing far behind Democratic efforts. This structural advantage and the district’s voting history underpin the 93.5% trader consensus on a Democratic winner, while the 5.5% Republican share aligns with historical margins. A late primary upset or unprecedented general-election surge by the Republican nominee remains possible but would require shifts far outside recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
거래량
$23,035종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 44th congressional district, encompassing urban areas of South Los Angeles, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Nanette Barragán faces minimal opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with Republican fundraising and visibility trailing far behind Democratic efforts. This structural advantage and the district’s voting history underpin the 93.5% trader consensus on a Democratic winner, while the 5.5% Republican share aligns with historical margins. A late primary upset or unprecedented general-election surge by the Republican nominee remains possible but would require shifts far outside recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$23,035종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 44th congressional district, encompassing urban areas of South Los Angeles, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Nanette Barragán faces minimal opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with Republican fundraising and visibility trailing far behind Democratic efforts. This structural advantage and the district’s voting history underpin the 93.5% trader consensus on a Democratic winner, while the 5.5% Republican share aligns with historical margins. A late primary upset or unprecedented general-election surge by the Republican nominee remains possible but would require shifts far outside recent patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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