Tennessee's 7th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, with the incumbent Matt Van Epps positioned as the frontrunner following his December 2025 special election victory. Recent redistricting in May 2026 produced only minor boundary adjustments that left the district's underlying partisan balance largely intact, preserving an environment where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. Primary contests scheduled for August 6 offer limited disruption, as Van Epps faces no notable Republican opposition while Democratic contenders remain divided. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83 percent implied probability of capturing the November 3 general election seat, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and structural advantages for the incumbent. No major developments in the past 30 days have materially altered this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
13%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,605 거래량
83%
Democratic Party
$1,070 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 7th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, with the incumbent Matt Van Epps positioned as the frontrunner following his December 2025 special election victory. Recent redistricting in May 2026 produced only minor boundary adjustments that left the district's underlying partisan balance largely intact, preserving an environment where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. Primary contests scheduled for August 6 offer limited disruption, as Van Epps faces no notable Republican opposition while Democratic contenders remain divided. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83 percent implied probability of capturing the November 3 general election seat, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and structural advantages for the incumbent. No major developments in the past 30 days have materially altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$3,675종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 7th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, with the incumbent Matt Van Epps positioned as the frontrunner following his December 2025 special election victory. Recent redistricting in May 2026 produced only minor boundary adjustments that left the district's underlying partisan balance largely intact, preserving an environment where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. Primary contests scheduled for August 6 offer limited disruption, as Van Epps faces no notable Republican opposition while Democratic contenders remain divided. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83 percent implied probability of capturing the November 3 general election seat, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and structural advantages for the incumbent. No major developments in the past 30 days have materially altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,675종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 7th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, with the incumbent Matt Van Epps positioned as the frontrunner following his December 2025 special election victory. Recent redistricting in May 2026 produced only minor boundary adjustments that left the district's underlying partisan balance largely intact, preserving an environment where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. Primary contests scheduled for August 6 offer limited disruption, as Van Epps faces no notable Republican opposition while Democratic contenders remain divided. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83 percent implied probability of capturing the November 3 general election seat, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and structural advantages for the incumbent. No major developments in the past 30 days have materially altered this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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