Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+12 partisan voting index that aligns with the area's 63 percent support for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024 and Fry's prior general election margins above 64 percent. Traders price the Republican nominee at 89.5 percent to win the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's structural tilt and Fry's strong fundraising edge of nearly $1 million cash on hand versus under $54,000 for Democratic primary candidate John Vincent. The June 9 primaries feature minimal Republican opposition and limited Democratic resources, with no recent polling shifts or scandals altering the outlook. Absent unexpected developments in the coming months, these factors sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
11%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,876 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$1,632 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+12 partisan voting index that aligns with the area's 63 percent support for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024 and Fry's prior general election margins above 64 percent. Traders price the Republican nominee at 89.5 percent to win the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's structural tilt and Fry's strong fundraising edge of nearly $1 million cash on hand versus under $54,000 for Democratic primary candidate John Vincent. The June 9 primaries feature minimal Republican opposition and limited Democratic resources, with no recent polling shifts or scandals altering the outlook. Absent unexpected developments in the coming months, these factors sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$5,508종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+12 partisan voting index that aligns with the area's 63 percent support for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024 and Fry's prior general election margins above 64 percent. Traders price the Republican nominee at 89.5 percent to win the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's structural tilt and Fry's strong fundraising edge of nearly $1 million cash on hand versus under $54,000 for Democratic primary candidate John Vincent. The June 9 primaries feature minimal Republican opposition and limited Democratic resources, with no recent polling shifts or scandals altering the outlook. Absent unexpected developments in the coming months, these factors sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,508종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+12 partisan voting index that aligns with the area's 63 percent support for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024 and Fry's prior general election margins above 64 percent. Traders price the Republican nominee at 89.5 percent to win the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's structural tilt and Fry's strong fundraising edge of nearly $1 million cash on hand versus under $54,000 for Democratic primary candidate John Vincent. The June 9 primaries feature minimal Republican opposition and limited Democratic resources, with no recent polling shifts or scandals altering the outlook. Absent unexpected developments in the coming months, these factors sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문