The Massachusetts 7th congressional district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 partisan voting index and consistent results exceeding 90 percent for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley, who declined a 2026 Senate bid to seek reelection, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while no competitive Republican has filed for the November 3 general election. This structure limits pathways for the Republican Party, currently priced at 6.5 percent. A late surge by an unfiled challenger, an unexpected primary outcome, or broader national realignment could still shift probabilities before ballots close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$7,446 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$1,030 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 7th congressional district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 partisan voting index and consistent results exceeding 90 percent for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley, who declined a 2026 Senate bid to seek reelection, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while no competitive Republican has filed for the November 3 general election. This structure limits pathways for the Republican Party, currently priced at 6.5 percent. A late surge by an unfiled challenger, an unexpected primary outcome, or broader national realignment could still shift probabilities before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$8,476종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 7th congressional district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 partisan voting index and consistent results exceeding 90 percent for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley, who declined a 2026 Senate bid to seek reelection, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while no competitive Republican has filed for the November 3 general election. This structure limits pathways for the Republican Party, currently priced at 6.5 percent. A late surge by an unfiled challenger, an unexpected primary outcome, or broader national realignment could still shift probabilities before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,476종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 7th congressional district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 partisan voting index and consistent results exceeding 90 percent for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley, who declined a 2026 Senate bid to seek reelection, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while no competitive Republican has filed for the November 3 general election. This structure limits pathways for the Republican Party, currently priced at 6.5 percent. A late surge by an unfiled challenger, an unexpected primary outcome, or broader national realignment could still shift probabilities before ballots close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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