In California's 46th congressional district, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% because the seat has shown consistent partisan leanings in recent election cycles, driven by strong support from urban and Latino voting blocs in Orange County communities. The incumbent's established record and path-to-victory math, including reliable margins in general elections, anchor this positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms. Primary results and early polling trends further align with these historical patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, unexpected shifts in turnout among key demographics, or candidate-specific developments that alter the current balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,084 거래량
$11,084 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$11,084 거래량
$11,084 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,449 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$8,635 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 46th congressional district, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% because the seat has shown consistent partisan leanings in recent election cycles, driven by strong support from urban and Latino voting blocs in Orange County communities. The incumbent's established record and path-to-victory math, including reliable margins in general elections, anchor this positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms. Primary results and early polling trends further align with these historical patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, unexpected shifts in turnout among key demographics, or candidate-specific developments that alter the current balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$11,084종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 46th congressional district, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% because the seat has shown consistent partisan leanings in recent election cycles, driven by strong support from urban and Latino voting blocs in Orange County communities. The incumbent's established record and path-to-victory math, including reliable margins in general elections, anchor this positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms. Primary results and early polling trends further align with these historical patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, unexpected shifts in turnout among key demographics, or candidate-specific developments that alter the current balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,084종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In California's 46th congressional district, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% because the seat has shown consistent partisan leanings in recent election cycles, driven by strong support from urban and Latino voting blocs in Orange County communities. The incumbent's established record and path-to-victory math, including reliable margins in general elections, anchor this positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms. Primary results and early polling trends further align with these historical patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, unexpected shifts in turnout among key demographics, or candidate-specific developments that alter the current balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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