California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration of roughly 64 percent Democratic compared to 7 percent Republican and a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+36. Nancy Pelosi's retirement created an open seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary advanced two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, while the leading Republican received under 6 percent. Trader consensus at 98.3 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the San Francisco-based district. Late developments such as candidate scandals, significant shifts in turnout patterns, or unexpected national political events could still influence the outcome before November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$5,927 거래량
98%
Republican Party
$2,143 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration of roughly 64 percent Democratic compared to 7 percent Republican and a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+36. Nancy Pelosi's retirement created an open seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary advanced two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, while the leading Republican received under 6 percent. Trader consensus at 98.3 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the San Francisco-based district. Late developments such as candidate scandals, significant shifts in turnout patterns, or unexpected national political events could still influence the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
거래량
$8,070종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration of roughly 64 percent Democratic compared to 7 percent Republican and a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+36. Nancy Pelosi's retirement created an open seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary advanced two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, while the leading Republican received under 6 percent. Trader consensus at 98.3 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the San Francisco-based district. Late developments such as candidate scandals, significant shifts in turnout patterns, or unexpected national political events could still influence the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,070종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration of roughly 64 percent Democratic compared to 7 percent Republican and a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+36. Nancy Pelosi's retirement created an open seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary advanced two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, while the leading Republican received under 6 percent. Trader consensus at 98.3 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the San Francisco-based district. Late developments such as candidate scandals, significant shifts in turnout patterns, or unexpected national political events could still influence the outcome before November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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