Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Burlison secured 72% in his 2024 reelection against the same Democratic primary contender, former mayor Missi Hesketh, underscoring weak opposition in this southwest Missouri stronghold encompassing Springfield and Branson. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine constituent services, with the August 4 primaries unlikely to yield a stronger GOP nominee given minimal primary challengers like John Casey. Scenarios to challenge this include a Burlison scandal, unexpected primary upset, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,348 거래량
$14,348 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
92%
민주당
7%
$14,348 거래량
$14,348 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$12,178 거래량
92%
민주당
$2,169 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Burlison secured 72% in his 2024 reelection against the same Democratic primary contender, former mayor Missi Hesketh, underscoring weak opposition in this southwest Missouri stronghold encompassing Springfield and Branson. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine constituent services, with the August 4 primaries unlikely to yield a stronger GOP nominee given minimal primary challengers like John Casey. Scenarios to challenge this include a Burlison scandal, unexpected primary upset, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$14,348종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Burlison secured 72% in his 2024 reelection against the same Democratic primary contender, former mayor Missi Hesketh, underscoring weak opposition in this southwest Missouri stronghold encompassing Springfield and Branson. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine constituent services, with the August 4 primaries unlikely to yield a stronger GOP nominee given minimal primary challengers like John Casey. Scenarios to challenge this include a Burlison scandal, unexpected primary upset, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,348종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Burlison secured 72% in his 2024 reelection against the same Democratic primary contender, former mayor Missi Hesketh, underscoring weak opposition in this southwest Missouri stronghold encompassing Springfield and Branson. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond routine constituent services, with the August 4 primaries unlikely to yield a stronger GOP nominee given minimal primary challengers like John Casey. Scenarios to challenge this include a Burlison scandal, unexpected primary upset, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural advantages make shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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