Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 89.5% in California's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Judy Chu's established dominance, with 64.9% in the 2024 general election. Chu faces Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato—who lost to her 65-35 last cycle—in the June 2 top-two primary, where advancement of two Democrats remains possible given historical GOP underperformance below 35%. Uniform Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the low Republican path to victory absent major shifts like scandal or turnout surges. No significant developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$89,254 거래량
$89,254 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
90%
공화당
10%
$89,254 거래량
$89,254 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$41,330 거래량
90%
공화당
$47,923 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 89.5% in California's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Judy Chu's established dominance, with 64.9% in the 2024 general election. Chu faces Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato—who lost to her 65-35 last cycle—in the June 2 top-two primary, where advancement of two Democrats remains possible given historical GOP underperformance below 35%. Uniform Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the low Republican path to victory absent major shifts like scandal or turnout surges. No significant developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$89,254종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 89.5% in California's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Judy Chu's established dominance, with 64.9% in the 2024 general election. Chu faces Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato—who lost to her 65-35 last cycle—in the June 2 top-two primary, where advancement of two Democrats remains possible given historical GOP underperformance below 35%. Uniform Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the low Republican path to victory absent major shifts like scandal or turnout surges. No significant developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$89,254종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 89.5% in California's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Judy Chu's established dominance, with 64.9% in the 2024 general election. Chu faces Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato—who lost to her 65-35 last cycle—in the June 2 top-two primary, where advancement of two Democrats remains possible given historical GOP underperformance below 35%. Uniform Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the low Republican path to victory absent major shifts like scandal or turnout surges. No significant developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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