Georgia's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent David Scott's death in April 2026 triggered a July special election, but the November general election features Democratic nominee Jasmine Clark, who secured her party's nod outright in the May primary, against Republican Jonathan Chavez. This positioning aligns with the district's voter composition and past results, leaving limited pathways for a Republican upset absent a major national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific developments before Election Day. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, consistent with these structural factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,892 거래량
$23,892 거래량
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$23,892 거래량
$23,892 거래량
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent David Scott's death in April 2026 triggered a July special election, but the November general election features Democratic nominee Jasmine Clark, who secured her party's nod outright in the May primary, against Republican Jonathan Chavez. This positioning aligns with the district's voter composition and past results, leaving limited pathways for a Republican upset absent a major national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific developments before Election Day. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, consistent with these structural factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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