Incumbent Republican David Joyce secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, advancing against Democrat Maria Jukic, who won her primary with about 51 percent. The Ohio 14th remains a Republican-leaning district with an R+9 partisan voter index, where Joyce has held the seat since 2013 through multiple cycles. Recent redistricting adjustments preserved the district's structural advantage for Republicans, limiting Democratic paths to victory despite Jukic's general election candidacy. Trader consensus at 85 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this incumbency strength, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major shifts in the district's electorate or candidate field ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,969 거래량
$10,969 거래량
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
$10,969 거래량
$10,969 거래량
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Joyce secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, advancing against Democrat Maria Jukic, who won her primary with about 51 percent. The Ohio 14th remains a Republican-leaning district with an R+9 partisan voter index, where Joyce has held the seat since 2013 through multiple cycles. Recent redistricting adjustments preserved the district's structural advantage for Republicans, limiting Democratic paths to victory despite Jukic's general election candidacy. Trader consensus at 85 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this incumbency strength, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major shifts in the district's electorate or candidate field ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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