Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and holds solid-to-safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, underpinning the strong trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney, who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces a June 23 primary challenge from former representative David Trone, while Republicans are selecting their nominee from a field that includes Mariela Roca and others. The district’s suburban and western Maryland composition has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting Republican paths to victory absent a major national shift. Late primary developments or an unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the margin, yet current structural factors continue to anchor expectations for Democratic retention.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,177 거래량
$15,177 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
91%
공화당
8%
$15,177 거래량
$15,177 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$5,165 거래량
91%
공화당
$10,012 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and holds solid-to-safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, underpinning the strong trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney, who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces a June 23 primary challenge from former representative David Trone, while Republicans are selecting their nominee from a field that includes Mariela Roca and others. The district’s suburban and western Maryland composition has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting Republican paths to victory absent a major national shift. Late primary developments or an unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the margin, yet current structural factors continue to anchor expectations for Democratic retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$15,177종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and holds solid-to-safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, underpinning the strong trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney, who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces a June 23 primary challenge from former representative David Trone, while Republicans are selecting their nominee from a field that includes Mariela Roca and others. The district’s suburban and western Maryland composition has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting Republican paths to victory absent a major national shift. Late primary developments or an unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the margin, yet current structural factors continue to anchor expectations for Democratic retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,177종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and holds solid-to-safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, underpinning the strong trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney, who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces a June 23 primary challenge from former representative David Trone, while Republicans are selecting their nominee from a field that includes Mariela Roca and others. The district’s suburban and western Maryland composition has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting Republican paths to victory absent a major national shift. Late primary developments or an unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the margin, yet current structural factors continue to anchor expectations for Democratic retention.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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