Maryland's 6th Congressional District carries a D+3 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, establishing a durable structural edge for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The seat's current occupant, April McClain Delaney, benefits from incumbency advantages while facing a high-profile primary challenge from former Representative David Trone ahead of the June 23 vote. With Republicans holding only a narrow House majority entering the midterms and no prominent GOP contenders emerging in the district, trader consensus places the Democratic Party at 87.5 percent. Key factors that could still shift probabilities include primary turnout patterns and any late-cycle national political developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,469 거래량
$12,469 거래량
민주당
88%
공화당
12%
$12,469 거래량
$12,469 거래량
민주당
88%
공화당
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 6th Congressional District carries a D+3 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, establishing a durable structural edge for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The seat's current occupant, April McClain Delaney, benefits from incumbency advantages while facing a high-profile primary challenge from former Representative David Trone ahead of the June 23 vote. With Republicans holding only a narrow House majority entering the midterms and no prominent GOP contenders emerging in the district, trader consensus places the Democratic Party at 87.5 percent. Key factors that could still shift probabilities include primary turnout patterns and any late-cycle national political developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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